Corrections
Every correction and retraction we have made, newest first. Our pages are generated from live prediction-market data by automated systems with deterministic accuracy gates; when something published fails those gates in a post-publication audit, we retract or correct it and record it here. We would rather show you this list than pretend it is empty.
2026-10-30 · retracted article · view
“Bitcoin's Crash-Risk Is Near Its Lowest Reading in Months”
failed post-publication audit: figure '64%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-30 · retracted article · view
“Bitcoin's Slide to $70,000 Is Now a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '92%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-30 · retracted article · view
“NVIDIA's Grip on the Top Spot Is Now a Coin Flip as Apple Surges”
failed post-publication audit: figure '88%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-30 · retracted article · view
“Abdul El-Sayed Is Likely Headed to the U.S. Senate”
failed post-publication audit: figure '56%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-30 · retracted article · view
“Ethereum's Drop to $2,000 Is Now a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-30 · retracted article · view
“Apple Edges Ahead of NVIDIA for World's Largest Company by October”
failed post-publication audit: figure '96%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-30 · retracted article · view
“Ethereum Faces a Coin-Flip Chance of Falling to $2,000 by 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-30 · retracted article · view
“A Fed Rate Hike by December Is Looking Increasingly Probable”
failed post-publication audit: figure '80%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Russian Diesel May Yet Reach American Ports Before Year's End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '18 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '92 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Predict.fun Looks Set to Launch Well Above a $1 Billion Valuation”
failed post-publication audit: figure '82%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“The Smuggled Diesel Market Is Having Second Thoughts”
failed post-publication audit: figure '92 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Ethereum Has All but Certainly Already Fallen Through $2,250”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“The Diesel Deal That Won't Stay Decided”
failed post-publication audit: figure '92 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Newt Gingrich Emerges as a Coin-Flip Pick to Join U.S.-Iran Talks”
failed post-publication audit: figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“California's Billionaire Wealth Tax Looks Likely to Fail in 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '21%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Marine Le Pen's Path to the Élysée Is Now a Genuine Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Vance Leads the 2028 Republican Field, but the Nomination Is Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Atlanta and Golden State Are Deadlocked in the 2026 WNBA Championship Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '23%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '81%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted card · view
“The New Hunger Games Film Is Leaning Toward a $105 Million-Plus Opening Weekend”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.06 (> 1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Google Leads the AI Model Race Into 2026, but Anthropic Closes Fast”
failed post-publication audit: figure '78%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Keisha Lance Bottoms Leads Georgia's Governor Race, but the Ground Keeps Shifting”
failed post-publication audit: figure '51%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Toronto Maple Leafs Surge to Lead the 2027 Stanley Cup Field”
failed post-publication audit: figure '74 percentage points' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“GameStop Is Not Buying eBay”
failed post-publication audit: figure '13%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '6%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted card · view
“The New Hunger Games Film Is Now Leaning Toward a $105M-Plus Opening”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.11 (> 1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“France's 2027 Presidential Race Is a Genuine Dead Heat”
failed post-publication audit: figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“US-Iran Diplomacy Is Back in Play, but the Outcome Remains Uncertain”
failed post-publication audit: figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Hyperliquid Looks Likely to Reach $100 by End of 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '7.7%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Bitcoin's $90,000 Ceiling Is Now a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Israel Heads for a Second Election With No Government in Sight”
failed post-publication audit: figure '26%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“America Appears on Track to Buy Russian Diesel Before Year's End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '92%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Raise Rates in December”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted card · view
“Trump's Approval Rating Has Settled at 38.4%”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Russia Diesel Deal Looks Closer, But the Money Has Grown Skittish”
failed post-publication audit: figure '92%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '18%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“America Still Leans Toward Importing Russian Diesel, but the Conviction Has Cracked”
failed post-publication audit: figure '18%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '92%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Hike Rates in December”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Peltola Leads Alaska's Senate Race, but Sullivan Is Closing the Gap”
failed post-publication audit: figure '80%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '75%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Ezra Frech Leads Dancing with the Stars, but His Edge Is Narrowing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '68%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Republicans Appear Headed for a Senate Gain, But the Margin Is Anyone's Guess”
failed post-publication audit: figure '22%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted card · view
“U.S. GDP Growth Tops 3% in Q3 2026”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“WTI Crude Oil Is Virtually Certain to Stay Above $92 Through Late October”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“OpenAI's IPO Valuation Remains Anyone's Guess”
failed post-publication audit: figure '40%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Hike Rates in December”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '80%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted card · view
“Drake Is Likely to Top Spotify's U.S. Chart Again This Year”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.10 (> 1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“America's Russian Diesel Bet Keeps Shifting”
failed post-publication audit: figure '92%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“US-Iran Talks Are Edging Forward, but No Deal Is Close”
failed post-publication audit: figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted card · view
“WTI Crude Is Virtually Certain to Hold Above $94 Through Wednesday”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Google All But Certain to Lead AI Through October, but Its Edge Fades Fast”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '70%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Gemini Surges to Lead a Dead Heat for Best AI by Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '38%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '76%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Maduro's Fate Hangs in the Balance as Prison Odds Reach a Dead Heat”
failed post-publication audit: figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“The Cat in the Hat Is Likely to Score Well Above Its Infamous Past”
failed post-publication audit: figure '83 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Chiang Wan-an's Lead in the Taipei Mayor Race Has Narrowed Sharply”
failed post-publication audit: figure '92 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '60 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted card · view
“Drake Is Likely to Lead Spotify's U.S. Year-End Chart”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.07 (> 1)
2026-10-29 · retracted card · view
“The Czech National Bank Is Very Likely to Hike Rates in November”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.07 (> 1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Bitcoin Hovers Near $81,000 With No Clear Path Higher”
failed post-publication audit: figure '92%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Is Very Likely to Close Out Tampa Bay and Win the World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“The 1W Public Sale Is Now All but Certain to Blow Past $10 Million”
failed post-publication audit: figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Google Reclaims the AI Crown, But Its Hold Grows Shakier by Month”
failed post-publication audit: figure '78%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Netanyahu Surges Back to a Coin Flip as Likud Dominates the Ballot”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-28, before publication 2026-10-29
2026-10-29 · retracted article · view
“Likud Has Won Israel's Election — But Netanyahu May Not Form a Government”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-28, before publication 2026-10-29
2026-10-29 · retracted card · view
“Netanyahu Reclaims the Lead as Israel's Election Collapses Into Deadlock”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-28, before publication 2026-10-29
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Latin Grammy Song of the Year Race Is Wide Open After a Major Shake-Up”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.21 (> 1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Drake Likely Leads U.S. Spotify Streams Again, but Ella Langley Is Surging”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.07 (> 1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Trump's Chillicothe Rally Script Is Very Likely Set: Trade, Steel, and Canada”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Trump's Chillicothe Rally Script Is Very Likely Set: Trade, Steel, and Canada”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“A US-Iran Hormuz Deal Is Now a Coin Flip — But the Strait Stays Shut”
failed post-publication audit: figure '68%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“A New AI Benchmark Record Is All But Certain Before 2027”
failed post-publication audit: figure '92%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“The Ceasefire Holds, but the Strait Remains Closed”
failed post-publication audit: figure '79%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Muse's Billboard 200 Debut Is Now a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.25 (> 1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“The Fed Holds in October With Two Dissenters, and a December Hike Is Likely Next”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Trump and Putin Are Likely to Meet Next in China”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Letitia James Holds a Strong Lead in New York Attorney General Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Hike Rates Twice Before Year's End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Bitcoin's Chances of Reaching $90,000 by End of 2026 Have Cratered”
failed post-publication audit: figure '92%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '12%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Very Likely to Hold in October, With a December Hike Still in Play”
failed post-publication audit: figure '51%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“David Crowley Likely Holds Wisconsin's Governor's Mansion”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Is Very Likely Headed to a World Series Title”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Drake Is Likely to Top Spotify U.S. Streams Again in 2026”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.10 (> 1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Karen Bass Edges Back Into the Lead in Los Angeles Mayor's Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Raise Rates by December”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Iran's Blockade Appears Headed for a March 2027 End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '96%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '55%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Banks of the Trinity Is Likely to Win Best Contemporary Country Album”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.22 (> 1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“WTI Crude Oil Will Almost Certainly Top $94 by Late October”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Hike Rates in December”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“SpaceX Will Very Likely Stay Private Through 2026”
failed post-publication audit: 'this year' framing but the market resolves 2027-04-01 (not in 2026) — deadline overreach
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Initial Jobless Claims Will Almost Certainly Clear 180,000 This Week”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Raise Rates Before Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Trump's Lubbock Rally Script Is Already Written — and Deportation Is Now Center Stage”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Raise Rates Before Year-End 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Talarico and Jackson Are the Slight Favorites to Flip Both Texas and Maine”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.07 (> 1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Google Has Likely Locked Up the AI Crown Through October”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Aaron Ford Is Now Likely to Win the Nevada Governor's Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Google Has Very Likely Pulled Ahead in the AI Model Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“ARIRANG Leads the 2026 Album Race After a Dramatic Repricing”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.13 (> 1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Aaron Ford Is Now Likely to Win the Nevada Governor's Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Google Has Very Likely Pulled Ahead in the AI Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Hike Rates Before Year-End 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Google's AI Lead Is Very Likely to Hold Through October”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Saičić Leads Serbia's Presidential Race, but a Challenger Is Closing Fast”
failed post-publication audit: figure '12%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '18%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Likud Is Poised to Dominate Israel's 2026 Election, but Netanyahu's Return Is Far From Settled”
failed post-publication audit: figure '25%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“CATL's Removal From Pentagon's Blacklist Looks Unlikely Before Mid-2027”
failed post-publication audit: figure '25%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '54%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Von der Leyen's Ukraine Visit Looks Uncertain Through Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '98%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '18%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '27-point' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“J.D. Vance Leads the 2028 Republican Field but His Grip Is Slipping”
failed post-publication audit: figure '46%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '40%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“The Odyssey Leads Best Picture but the Race Has Tightened to a Genuine Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '60%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Chappell Roan's Album Leans Toward the Billboard 200 Top Spot in November”
failed post-publication audit: figure '65%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Brad Knott Holds a Narrowing Lead in North Carolina's 13th District”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“OpenAI's Next Astra Model Looks Likely Out by Year-End, but the Window Is Narrowing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '94%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“The Bank of Canada Is Likely to Raise Rates in October”
failed post-publication audit: figure '69%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Brad Knott's Hold on NC-13 Has Weakened Sharply”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“The Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '96%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Russia's Unemployment Rate Is Very Likely to Stay Above 2% Through September”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Trump's Approval Rating Looks Locked Near 38% by Fall 2026”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Texas Looks Set to Split: Abbott Holds the Governor's Mansion, Talarico Takes the Senate”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.07 (> 1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Benfica Leads a Wide-Open UEFA Europa League Phase Race”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.08 (> 1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Google Is Very Likely to Hold the AI Crown Through October”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Von der Leyen's Ukraine Visit Odds Slip to a Coin-Flip Range”
failed post-publication audit: figure '98%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“A Strike on Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline Is Now a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“A Second OpenAI Millennium Prize Solution Appears Within Reach by 2027”
failed post-publication audit: figure '93 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '39 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Hike Rates in December”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Troy Jackson Leads Maine's Senate Race, but Collins Is Closing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '74%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '56%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“New Zealand's Reserve Bank Will Hold Rates in October”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“ARIRANG Is Likely to Be America's Best-Selling Album of 2026”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.42 (> 1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Billboard No. 1 Is Wide Open as 'You Seem Pretty Sad' Loses Its Lead”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.21 (> 1)
2026-10-28 · retracted card · view
“Benfica Leads the UEFA Europa League Phase but Holds No Safe Margin”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.08 (> 1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Google Has Very Likely Pulled Ahead in the AI Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Another OpenAI Math Breakthrough Is Now Too Close to Call by 2027”
failed post-publication audit: figure '93 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '39 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-28 · retracted article · view
“Netanyahu's Political Survival Is Now a Dead Heat”
failed post-publication audit: figure '38%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Google Has Very Likely Pulled Ahead in the AI Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The Odyssey's Best Picture Lead Narrows to a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '60%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“Billboard 200's Top Spot Is a Dead Heat Heading Into Early November”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.23 (> 1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The 1W Token Sale Looks Set to Blow Past $10 Million”
failed post-publication audit: figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Google Has Pulled Decisively Ahead in the AI Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“Trump's Approval Rating Looks Stuck Below 38.7 by Late October”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“A Crowded Arrest Watch Forms Around Trump's Old Intelligence Rivals”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Iran's Blockade Appears Headed for a March Resolution, Though Confidence Has Eroded”
failed post-publication audit: figure '96%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“'You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love' Leans Toward No. 1 on the Billboard 200”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.09 (> 1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“Benfica Leads the Europa League Phase but the Race Is Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.09 (> 1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Google's Lead in AI Is Very Likely to Hold Through October”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“A Fed Rate Hike in Early 2027 Is Now a Genuine Possibility”
failed post-publication audit: figure '85%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Saudi Pipeline Attack Odds Slip Back to a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Predict.fun's Token Launch Is Now All But Certain”
failed post-publication audit: figure '83%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '100%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Google's AI Lead Has Hardened Into Near-Certainty”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“Benfica Emerges as a Coin-Flip Favorite to Top the Europa League Phase”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.09 (> 1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Van Drew's NJ-02 Advantage Is Narrowing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '80%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Confidence in a 2026 GPT Astra 6.1 Release Has Slipped From Its Peak”
failed post-publication audit: figure '94%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Google's AI Lead Is Very Likely to Hold Through October”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“Israeli Voter Turnout Is Very Likely to Reach 74% or Higher”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Saudi Pipeline Attack Odds Lean Toward Yes, but the Situation Remains Volatile”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Eizenkot Leads Israel's Next Government, but the Race Remains Volatile”
failed post-publication audit: figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“"You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love" Leads a Wide-Open Billboard Race”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.17 (> 1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“OpenAI's Next Astra Release Looks Likely by Year-End, but the Window Is Narrowing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '94%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Iran's Internet Stays On — but the Strait of Hormuz Remains Shut”
failed post-publication audit: figure '58%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Republican Field”
failed post-publication audit: figure '46%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Anthropic Leads the AI Model Race, but the Outcome Remains a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '78%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Trump's Rally Rhetoric Is Very Likely to Hit Every Expected Note — With Tariffs Surging”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Netanyahu Looks Like the Most Vulnerable Major Leader Standing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '32%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Kimi Antonelli Is the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion, the Money Says”
failed post-publication audit: figure '71%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“WTI Crude Oil Is Above $91 — and the Only Question Is How Far Above”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Saudi Pipeline Attack Risk Falls to a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Iran's Blockade Appears Headed for a March Deadline, Though Confidence Has Eroded”
failed post-publication audit: figure '55%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Eizenkot Leads Israel's Next Election, but His Edge Remains Fragile”
failed post-publication audit: figure '58%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“Trump's Approval Rating Looks Pinned Near 38.3%”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The 2026-27 Stanley Cup Race Remains Historically Wide-Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '82%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Republican Field, but His Grip Is Slipping”
failed post-publication audit: figure '46%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '45%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Eizenkot Leads Israel's Next Government, but the Race Is Far From Settled”
failed post-publication audit: figure '58%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“"you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" Now Leans Toward Topping the Billboard 200”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.57 (> 1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Russia Is Very Likely to Strike Kyiv Again Before November”
failed post-publication audit: figure '100%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Eizenkot Leads Israel's Next Election, but the Race Is a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '58%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Iran's Internet Stays On, but the Standoff Grinds Forward”
failed post-publication audit: figure '58%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Amy Acton Is Likely to Win Ohio's Governorship”
failed post-publication audit: figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Brewers Are Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '84%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“Bitcoin's Rally Past $90,000 This Year Is Now in Doubt”
failed post-publication audit: contract binding: the headline's $90,000 is a threshold of sibling market 'Bitcoin price at the end of 2026', not of the bound contract 'What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?' ('↓ 70,000'); the claim must bind the contract it describes
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“NHL's 2026-27 Stanley Cup Race Remains Historically Wide-Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '77%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The Race to Replace Karoline Leavitt Is Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Brewers Are Poised to Sweep to the 2026 World Series Title”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Golden State Surges to the Front of the 2026 WNBA Title Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '81%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The Clarity Act's Senate Prospects Have Collapsed”
failed post-publication audit: figure '82%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline Faces a Genuine Threat Before Year's End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“NVIDIA Is Very Likely to Reclaim the Top Spot by October”
failed post-publication audit: figure '61%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '96%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Russia Will Strike Kyiv on October 27”
failed post-publication audit: figure '86%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '45%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Iran's Ceasefire Holds, but the Strait of Hormuz Stays Shut”
failed post-publication audit: figure '58%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Greg Abbott Holds a Shifting Edge in Texas's Governor's Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '66%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Is Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '84%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Anthropic's IPO Is Coming This Fall, and the Money Is Confident”
failed post-publication audit: figure '37%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The Clarity Act Has Lost Almost All Its Senate Support”
failed post-publication audit: figure '82 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The Odds of an Attack on Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline Remain Dangerously Elevated”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Is Very Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Saudi Arabia's Key Oil Pipeline Faces a Narrowing but Real Threat”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Has All But Won the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Eizenkot Edges Ahead in Israel's Next Election as Netanyahu Fades”
failed post-publication audit: figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Republican Field as His Path Narrows”
failed post-publication audit: figure '10%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '46%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Atlanta's WNBA Title Lead Collapses to a Coin Flip as Golden State Surges”
failed post-publication audit: figure '81%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Eizenkot Edges Ahead in Israel's Next Election as Netanyahu Fades”
failed post-publication audit: figure '58%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“Trump Is Very Likely to Invoke the Save America Act at His Lubbock Rally”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“The Market for Trump's Next Press Secretary Is a Wide-Open Guessing Game”
failed post-publication audit: figure '14%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Le Pen Leads France's 2027 Race, but the Field Is Closing In”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“Mark Sutcliffe Likely Wins Re-Election as Ottawa's Mayor”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Nicki Minaj Fades, But the Press Secretary Race Stays Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Serbia's Opposition Leads a Wide-Open Race as Vučić's Grip Collapses”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-26, before publication 2026-10-27
2026-10-27 · retracted article · view
“Édouard Philippe Surges as Le Pen Holds a Fragile Lead”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“Šoškić Leads a Fractured Serbian Prime Minister Race as Vučić Collapses”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-26, before publication 2026-10-27
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“Iotova Leads Bulgaria's Presidential Race but Her Edge Has Narrowed”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-26, before publication 2026-10-27
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“Apple's November Price Trajectory Is a Genuine Coin Flip”
coverage: short-horizon price bucket — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-27 · retracted card · view
“WTI Crude Is Very Likely to Touch $100 in November”
coverage: short-horizon price bucket — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Eizenkot Leads Israel's Next Election as Netanyahu Surges Back”
failed post-publication audit: figure '58%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted card · view
“"Clayface" Opens to a Coin-Flip Shot at $21M–$22.5M”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-25, before publication 2026-10-26
2026-10-26 · retracted card · view
“The New Cat in the Hat Film Is Very Likely to Be Certified Fresh”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“A Strike on Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline Is Now a Coin Flip Through November”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Olivia Chow Is Likely to Win Toronto's Mayoral Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '88%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '51%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Iran's Internet Stays On, but the Strait of Hormuz Stays Closed”
failed post-publication audit: figure '58%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '80-point' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Harry Kane Is Likely to Claim the 2026 Ballon d'Or”
failed post-publication audit: figure '43%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Who Gets to Speak for Trump? The Race Remains Wide Open.”
failed post-publication audit: figure '14%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“France's Political Crisis Is Easing — and Le Pen Leads the Longer Game”
failed post-publication audit: figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Šoškić Leads a Fractured Race as Serbia's Election Picture Snaps Into Focus”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Harry Kane Is Likely to Win the 2026 Ballon d'Or”
failed post-publication audit: figure '43%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '77 percentage points' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“France's Emergency Fever Has Broken, but Le Pen Remains a Near-Even Bet for 2027”
failed post-publication audit: figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Šoškić Leads a Wide-Open Serbian Prime Minister Race After Vučić's Collapse”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“The Race to Replace Karoline Leavitt Is Genuinely Unsettled”
failed post-publication audit: figure '14%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“France's State of Emergency Risk Edges Up but Remains Unlikely”
failed post-publication audit: figure '10%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Šoškić Leads a Wide-Open Serbian Prime Minister Race as Vučić Era Ends”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '34%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline Strike Risk Leans Real but Loses Conviction”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Aaron Ford Now Leads Nevada's Governor Race by a Widening Margin”
failed post-publication audit: figure '46%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Iran's Ceasefire Holds, but the Strait of Hormuz Stays Closed”
failed post-publication audit: figure '58 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline Faces a Real Strike Risk Through November”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Talarico and Jackson Hold a Narrow, Fragile Lead in 2026 Dual Senate Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '61%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Netanyahu's Political Survival Looks Increasingly Fragile Heading Into 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '32%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“The White House Press Secretary Race Remains Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '14%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Iran's Ceasefire Holds, but the Strait of Hormuz Stays Closed”
failed post-publication audit: figure '58%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Kyle Larson Looks Set to Win the NASCAR Cup Series Title”
failed post-publication audit: figure '29 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline Strike Risk Leans Toward Yes”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Anthropic Is Very Likely Going Public This November”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Anthropic Is Very Likely to Go Public Before Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Šoškić Leads a Volatile, Wide-Open Serbian Prime Minister Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Anthropic Is Very Likely to IPO Before Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '85%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Serbia's Next Government Is Anybody's Guess After Vučić Collapses”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '34%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Bobby Pulido Likely Wins TX-15 for Democrats”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '88 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Republican Field as His Path to the White House Narrows”
failed post-publication audit: figure '46%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '9%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Le Pen's Presidential Odds Are Slipping From Their Recent Peak”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '29%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“A Strike on Saudi Arabia's East-West Oil Pipeline Now Leans Possible by November”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Abdul El-Sayed Leads Michigan's Senate Race With Grip Softening”
failed post-publication audit: figure '56%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Eizenkot Now Leads Israel's Next Prime Minister Race, but the Money Is Far From Settled”
failed post-publication audit: figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Le Pen's Presidential Odds Are Slipping”
failed post-publication audit: figure '29 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '48 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“A Strike on Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline Is Now the Odds-On Scenario”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '72 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Vučić's Era Appears to Be Ending — Serbia's Next Leader Is Still Unsettled”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Marine Le Pen Leads France's 2027 Race, but the Contest Looks Genuinely Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '42%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted card · view
“Ezra Frech Is the Favorite to Win Dancing with the Stars Season 35”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.07 (> 1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“The US-Iran Ceasefire Is Likely to Hold Through the Midterms”
failed post-publication audit: figure '66%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Le Pen Leads a Wide-Open French Presidential Race, but Her Edge Is Slipping”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Vance's Lead in the 2028 Republican Race Is Narrowing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '8%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“A Direct NATO-Russia Military Clash Looks Unlikely Before 2027”
failed post-publication audit: figure '35%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Republican Field as His Grip Loosens”
failed post-publication audit: figure '46%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '8%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted card · view
“Trump's Approval Rating Looks Pinned at a Historic Low by October 2026”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“The White House Press Secretary Market Is Its Own Kind of News”
failed post-publication audit: figure '14%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Ezra Frech Leads Dancing with the Stars, but the Race Isn't Settled”
failed post-publication audit: figure '64%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Le Pen's Presidential Odds Are Fading From Their Recent Peak”
failed post-publication audit: figure '29%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“California's Billionaire Wealth Tax Remains a Long Shot”
failed post-publication audit: figure '34%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '21%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted card · view
“Brazil's Ibovespa Is Likely to Close Above 205,000 in October”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Google Likely Holds the AI Lead Through October, but Anthropic Is Closing In”
failed post-publication audit: figure '90%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Nicki Minaj Crashes the Press Secretary Market, but Anna Kelly Still Leads”
failed post-publication audit: figure '14%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Trump's Next Press Secretary Race Remains Genuinely Unsettled”
failed post-publication audit: figure '14%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Google Likely Holds the AI Lead Through October, but Anthropic Narrows the Gap”
failed post-publication audit: figure '90%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Rob Sand Is Likely Iowa's Next Governor”
failed post-publication audit: figure '22%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Anthropic's IPO Is Now Likely Arriving by Mid-December”
failed post-publication audit: figure '65-point' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Le Pen's Presidential Bid Has Slipped Below Even Odds”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '29%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Iotova Leads Bulgaria's First Round, but a Tight Race Awaits in the Runoff”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-25, before publication 2026-10-26
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“The White House Press Secretary Market Has a New Challenger: Nicki Minaj”
failed post-publication audit: figure '14%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Serbia's Student Movement Is All But Certain to Win the Most Parliamentary Seats”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-25, before publication 2026-10-26
2026-10-26 · retracted article · view
“Barcelona Leads a Wide-Open Champions League Field”
failed post-publication audit: figure '61%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '47%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '16%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-26 · retracted card · view
“"You Can See Everything" Looks Likely to Earn Between $18M and $19.5M Its Second Weekend”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-25, before publication 2026-10-26
2026-10-26 · retracted card · view
“Wildwood Opens Between $10 Million and $12 Million This Weekend”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-25, before publication 2026-10-26
2026-10-26 · retracted card · view
“Iotova Likely Wins Bulgaria's First Round Narrowly, Facing a Runoff”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-25, before publication 2026-10-26
2026-10-26 · retracted card · view
“Serbia's Student Movement Is Very Likely to Win the Most Parliamentary Seats”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-25, before publication 2026-10-26
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Eizenkot Rises as Lula-Eizenkot-Dems Combo Surges to the Front”
failed post-publication audit: figure '28%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Bulgaria's Presidential Race Tightens as Iotova's Lead Shrinks”
failed post-publication audit: figure '66%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro's Lead Over Lula Narrows Sharply”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“OpenRouter AI Token Usage Blows Past 650 Trillion This October”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“A Saudi-Houthi Ceasefire This Year Is Unlikely”
failed post-publication audit: figure '15%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Letitia James Remains Very Likely to Reclaim New York Attorney General”
failed post-publication audit: figure '94%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Vučić Still Favored in Serbia, but the Student List Has Become a Real Threat”
failed post-publication audit: figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Very Likely Done Cutting Rates for 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '84%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Nithya Raman Leads Los Angeles Mayor's Race, but Karen Bass Is Closing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '68%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Russia Is Very Likely to Strike Kyiv Late in October 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '100%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Vučić's Hold on Serbia's Prime Ministership Slips to a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '34%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“A Direct NATO-Russia Military Clash Remains an Unlikely but Live Risk Through 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '35%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Republicans Appear on Track to Hold at Least 193 House Seats”
failed post-publication audit: figure '19%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“"HOUSEWIFE" Is Very Likely to Sit at No. 2 on the Billboard Hot 100”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Jeremiah Smith's Heisman Lead Narrows to a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '61%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“María Corina Machado Is Virtually Certain to Return to Venezuela”
failed post-publication audit: figure '65%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '22%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Anna Kelly Leads a Still Wide-Open Press Secretary Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '14%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“France's Political Crisis Is Unlikely to Tip Into Emergency Rule”
failed post-publication audit: figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Is Headed for a Razor-Thin Victory in Brazil”
failed post-publication audit: figure '37%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '23%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Hike Rates in December”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '78%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '84%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“A Direct NATO-Russia Military Clash Remains Unlikely Through 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '35%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '45%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Kimi Antonelli Is All But Certain to Be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion”
failed post-publication audit: figure '71%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“The Odyssey's Best Picture Lead Has Narrowed to a Coin Flip”
failed post-publication audit: figure '60%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Le Pen Still Leads, but the Field Is Closing Around Her”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '29%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“The Billboard 200 Runner-Up Slot for Halloween Week Is Wide Open”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Trump's Approval Rating Appears Locked at 38.8% for October”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“The NHL Title Race Stays Wide Open With No Clear Favorite”
failed post-publication audit: figure '15%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Ashley Hinson Is Increasingly Favored to Hold Iowa for Republicans”
failed post-publication audit: figure '7%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Harry Kane Holds a Clear Lead in the 2026 Ballon d'Or Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '43 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '77 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Le Pen's Path to the Élysée Has Narrowed — but the Race Remains Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '30%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '29%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Letitia James Is Very Likely to Hold New York Attorney General”
failed post-publication audit: figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '94%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's Presidency, but Lula Is Closing In”
failed post-publication audit: figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Le Pen's Path to the Élysée Has Narrowed”
failed post-publication audit: figure '29%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '30%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“"You Can See Everything" Is Leaning Toward an $18M–$19.5M Second Weekend”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.06 (> 1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“AI Token Demand Is Exploding Beyond Any Reasonable Ceiling”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Student Movement Leads Serbia's Parliamentary Race, but a Majority Looks Out of Reach”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Is Likely Headed to the Palácio do Planalto, but the Margin Is Narrowing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Le Pen Leads a Wide-Open French Presidential Race, but Her Edge Has Slipped”
failed post-publication audit: figure '29%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“Iotova Heads for a Narrower First-Round Win Than Expected”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.08 (> 1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“The Billboard 200 Runner-Up Spot for Oct. 31 Is Wide Open”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Kimi Antonelli Has All But Clinched the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship”
failed post-publication audit: figure '71%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's Presidency, but the Margin Is Narrowing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '50 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '89 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Peggy Flanagan Leads Minnesota's Senate Race, but Democrats' Broader Gains Narrow”
failed post-publication audit: figure '93%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '7%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Hike Rates Before Year's End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '78%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Israeli Airspace Remains Open, but the Risk Lingers Into 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '16%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“Lorne Doerkson Is Likely to Become British Columbia's Next Premier”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-24, before publication 2026-10-25
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“'So Close To What' Leads a Wide-Open Race for the Billboard 200's No. 2 Slot”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Israeli Airspace Remains Open, but a Fragile Ceasefire Hides Deeper Turbulence”
failed post-publication audit: figure '16%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Scheffler Leads the 2027 Masters Field, but the Door Stays Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '25%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Vance Leads the 2028 Republican Field, but the Nomination Is Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '43%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“A NATO-Russia Military Clash Remains a Distant Risk as Diplomacy Advances”
failed post-publication audit: figure '35%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“A Fed Hike Before Year-End Is Now Likely Back on the Table”
failed post-publication audit: figure '85%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '12 points' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Likely to Hike Rates in December”
failed post-publication audit: figure '44%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '78%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '84%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“A December Fed Rate Hike Is Increasingly the Central Scenario”
failed post-publication audit: figure '51%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '84%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“A NATO-Russia Military Clash Remains a Distant Risk”
failed post-publication audit: figure '35%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Peggy Flanagan Likely Wins Minnesota's Senate Seat”
failed post-publication audit: figure '22%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Milwaukee Brewers Are Likely to Win the 2026 World Series”
failed post-publication audit: figure '70%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Ethereum Is Likely to Touch $2,250 Before End of 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Trump Will Attack Abdul El-Sayed and Cry Fraud at His Michigan Rally”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“Trump Will Attack Abdul El-Sayed and Cry Fraud at His Michigan Rally”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“France Is Likely to Avoid a State of Emergency Through Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '12%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Abdul El-Sayed Leads Michigan's 2026 Senate Race as Mike Rogers Closes In”
failed post-publication audit: figure '54%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '73%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Kimi Antonelli Is the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion”
failed post-publication audit: figure '71%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '6%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“'You Can See Everything' Second Weekend Increasingly Points to $18M–$19.5M”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.10 (> 1)
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“AI Token Consumption in October Is Virtually Certain to Exceed 650 Trillion”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Democrats Are Headed for a Substantial House Popular Vote Win in 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '22%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Miami Is Very Likely Playoff-Bound This Season”
failed post-publication audit: figure '96%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '78%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“Two Major Earthquakes Have Already Struck This Week”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.31 (> 1)
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“"You Can See Everything" Second Weekend Is a Dead Heat Between Two Ranges”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.09 (> 1)
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“Anthropic's IPO Looks Set for Late 2026 at a Valuation Near $1.5T–$2.0T”
failed post-publication audit: contract binding: the headline's $1.5 is a threshold of sibling market 'Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?', not of the bound contract 'Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap' ('$1.75–$2.0T'); the claim must bind the contract it describes
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“Trump's Approval Rating Is Pinned in a Narrow Band Around 38.7”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Iotova Heads for a Narrower First-Round Win Than Expected”
failed post-publication audit: figure '66%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Iotova Heads for a Narrower First-Round Win Than Expected”
failed post-publication audit: figure '66%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Jeremiah Smith Leads the Heisman Race as Malachi Toney Surges”
failed post-publication audit: figure '61%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Anthropic's IPO Announcement Is Very Likely Coming Well Before Spring 2027”
failed post-publication audit: figure '98%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Anthropic's IPO Is Likely Coming in November, Not December”
failed post-publication audit: figure '13-percentage-point' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Bobby Pulido Holds a Strong Lead in the Race to Flip TX-15”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“Democrats Are Very Likely to Win a House Majority in the Midterms”
failed post-publication audit: figure '100 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted article · view
“A NATO-Russia Military Clash Remains a Long Shot Through 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '35%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-25 · retracted card · view
“British Columbia Conservatives Are Very Likely to Win the Most Seats”
failed post-publication audit: expired contract: market resolved 2026-10-24, before publication 2026-10-25
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Texas Governor's Race Tightens as Hinojosa Closes Ground on Abbott”
failed post-publication audit: figure '88%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“A NATO-Russia Direct Clash Remains Unlikely, But the Risk Has Crept Back Up”
failed post-publication audit: figure '35%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Anthropic's IPO Is Likely Coming This Year, but the Window Is Narrowing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '79%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '96%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '62%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Ethereum Is Likely to Dip Below $2,250 Before 2027”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“A NATO-Russia Military Clash Remains a Distant but Restless Risk”
failed post-publication audit: figure '35%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Anthropic Is Likely to IPO by Year-End, Though Conviction Has Eased”
failed post-publication audit: figure '96%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Anna Kelly Leads a Wide-Open Press Secretary Race, but the Field Remains Fluid”
failed post-publication audit: figure '14%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Nithya Raman Edges Ahead in Los Angeles Mayor's Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '68%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“France Looks Set to Avoid a State of Emergency Through 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '12%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Is Likely to Win Brazil's Presidency in 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Trump's Georgia Rally Script Is All But Written”
failed post-publication audit: figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Bitcoin Faces a Genuine Reckoning on Its 2026 Price Floor”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Letitia James Is Very Likely to Reclaim New York Attorney General”
failed post-publication audit: figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Bitcoin Faces a Genuine Coin-Flip on Whether It Revisits $70,000”
failed post-publication audit: figure '52%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“A NATO-Russia Military Clash Before 2027 Is Now Unlikely”
failed post-publication audit: figure '35%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's Presidency, but the Margin Remains Contested”
failed post-publication audit: figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Trump Is Virtually Certain to Hit Every Expected Talking Point at His Rally”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-24 · retracted card · view
“Trump Is Virtually Certain to Hit Every Expected Talking Point at His Rally”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Letitia James Is Very Likely to Reclaim New York Attorney General”
failed post-publication audit: figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's 2026 Presidential Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Abdul El-Sayed Leads Michigan's Senate Race as Democrats Build a Wider Map”
failed post-publication audit: figure '56%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted card · view
“"You Can See Everything" Second Weekend Box Office Lands Between $18M and $21M”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.07 (> 1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Vučić Holds a Clear but Contested Lead Heading Into Serbia's 2026 Vote”
failed post-publication audit: figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Vučić Holds a Firm Lead as Serbia's 2026 Election Takes Shape”
failed post-publication audit: figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted card · view
“"Clayface" Opening Weekend Looks Headed for $21M–$22.5M”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.09 (> 1)
2026-10-24 · retracted card · view
“"You Can See Everything" Second Weekend Box Office Looks Set for $19.5M–$21M”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.06 (> 1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Christopher Nolan's 'The Odyssey' Leads Best Picture, but a Challenger Is Closing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '34%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Vučić Leads Serbia's Next Prime Minister Race, but a Challenger Is Surging”
failed post-publication audit: figure '34%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“CASHCAT's Launch Valuation Appears Headed Above $150 Million, Though the Ceiling Remains Contested”
failed post-publication audit: figure '46%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Leads Brazil's Presidential Race, but the Margin Is Narrowing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted card · view
“A Second Major Earthquake Has Struck, Resetting the Week's Seismic Count”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.08 (> 1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Greg Abbott's Texas Lead Firms as Democrats Bet Big Elsewhere”
failed post-publication audit: figure '66%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Leads Brazil's Presidential Race, but the Margin Remains Fragile”
failed post-publication audit: figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“A NATO-Russia Military Clash by End of 2026 Is Now Unlikely”
failed post-publication audit: figure '35%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“The Nasdaq-100 Looks Set to Close 2026 Well Above 25,000”
failed post-publication audit: figure '14%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“A Bet on Pricey Oil and a Democratic Senate Keeps Getting Stronger”
failed post-publication audit: figure '55%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Is Likely Headed to the Palácio do Planalto”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's Presidency, but the Margin Is Shrinking”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-24 · retracted card · view
“Trump's Approval Rating Is Pinned at 38.8%”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-24 · retracted article · view
“A NATO-Russia Military Clash Is Now Unlikely by Year's End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '35%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's 2026 Election, but His Margin Is Shrinking”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Iotova's First-Round Lead Is Narrowing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '66%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Clash Odds Collapse as NATO-Russia War Risk Falls to Unlikely”
failed post-publication audit: figure '35 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“A Saudi-Houthi Ceasefire This Year Now Looks Even Further Away”
failed post-publication audit: figure '34%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Pete Hegseth Looks Set to Remain at the Pentagon Through Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '26%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Iotova Headed for a First-Round Win, but the Gap May Be Smaller Than Expected”
failed post-publication audit: figure '66%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“France Is Unlikely to Declare a State of Emergency Before 2027”
failed post-publication audit: figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '45%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '49%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Claude's Lead Over Gemini Is Narrowing Fast”
failed post-publication audit: figure '76%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“The U.S. Is Likely to Resume Importing Russian Diesel by Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '18%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks Are Now Likely Before Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '45%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '18%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted card · view
“Wildwood's Opening Weekend Is Now a Coin Flip Around $12–14 Million”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.08 (> 1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Pete Hegseth Looks Set to Remain Defense Secretary Through Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '26%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“A Sanctions Workaround Appears to Be Taking Shape”
failed post-publication audit: figure '18%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Iotova's Margin Is the Question: A Tight First Round Is Now Possible”
failed post-publication audit: figure '66%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Anna Kelly Leads the White House Press Secretary Race, but the Field Remains Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '14%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“The U.S. Is Likely Buying Russian Diesel Again Before Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '18%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's Presidency, but the Margin Is Shrinking”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Pete Hegseth Looks Set to Finish the Year at the Pentagon”
failed post-publication audit: figure '26%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“France's Political Crisis Stays Below the Emergency Threshold”
failed post-publication audit: figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Someone Thinks America Will Buy Russian Diesel Again”
failed post-publication audit: figure '18%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '45%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“NVIDIA's Grip on the Top Spot Is Slipping”
failed post-publication audit: figure '96 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Google Is Likely to Hold the Top AI Model Ranking Through October”
failed post-publication audit: figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '80%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Jack Lowden Still Leads the Bond Race, but the Field Is Closing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '22%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Jeremiah Smith Leads the Heisman Race, but the Field Is Closing In”
failed post-publication audit: figure '61%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted card · view
“Wildwood's Opening Weekend Is Now Expected to Land Between $12M and $14M”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.14 (> 1)
2026-10-23 · retracted card · view
“Wicker Is Virtually Certain to Clear a Fresh Score on Rotten Tomatoes”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“America Looks Set to Resume Buying Russian Diesel”
failed post-publication audit: figure '18 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks Are Now Likely Before Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '45%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Vučić Leads Serbia's Next Prime Minister Race, but the Field Remains Unsettled”
failed post-publication audit: figure '34%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted card · view
“Wildwood's Opening Weekend Increasingly Points to a $12M–$14M Debut”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.11 (> 1)
2026-10-23 · retracted card · view
“Trump Will Talk Transgender, Stocks, and Stimulus at His Florida Rally”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“America Looks Set to Buy Russian Diesel Again”
failed post-publication audit: figure '18%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Russia-Ukraine Diplomacy Is Now All But Certain Before Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '72%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Vučić Leads Serbia's Next Government, but His Grip Has Loosened”
failed post-publication audit: figure '34%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Fable's Next Model Is Very Likely to Arrive by Year's End, but the Window Has Narrowed”
failed post-publication audit: figure '99%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Fable 5.2 Is Very Likely Coming This Year — Just Not This Month”
failed post-publication audit: figure '99%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Jack Lowden Leads a Wide-Open Race to Be the Next James Bond”
failed post-publication audit: figure '22%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted card · view
“WTI Crude Oil Will Be Above $89.49 on October 23”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Iotova Heads for a Narrow First-Round Win in Bulgaria”
failed post-publication audit: figure '66%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Jeremiah Smith Leads the Heisman Race but His Edge Is Narrowing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '61%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's Presidency, but the Margin Is Narrowing”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted card · view
“Clayface Is Headed for a Modest Opening Weekend Around $22M–$25M”
failed post-publication audit: mutually exclusive outcomes sum to 1.12 (> 1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Russia's Central Bank Rate Freeze Looks Set to Hold, Though Conviction Has Slipped”
failed post-publication audit: figure '90%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Barcelona Leads a Wide-Open Champions League Field”
failed post-publication audit: figure '47%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '16%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Abdul El-Sayed Increasingly Favored to Hold Michigan for Democrats”
failed post-publication audit: figure '100%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '94-point' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Iotova Heads for a Narrower First-Round Win Than Expected”
failed post-publication audit: figure '66%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“The Fed Is Very Likely Done Cutting in 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '85%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '87%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '84%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Abdul El-Sayed Leads Michigan's Senate Race as Democrats Build a Wider Map”
failed post-publication audit: figure '56%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '74%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '100%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro's Path to Brazil's Presidency Is Narrowing at the Margins”
failed post-publication audit: figure '79%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '51%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '88%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Anthropic Is Likely to Go Public in November 2026”
failed post-publication audit: figure '66-percentage-point' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Trump's Rally Script Is Highly Likely to Hit All the Familiar Notes”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-23 · retracted card · view
“Trump's Rally Script Is Highly Likely to Hit All the Familiar Notes”
coverage: mention/metronome market — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Olivia Chow Clings to a Narrow Lead as Toronto's Mayoral Race Remains Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '88%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“NVIDIA Leads the Race to Year-End, but Apple Is Closing Fast”
failed post-publication audit: figure '88%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“A Late-2026 Fable Release Looks Very Likely, But the Timing Window Has Narrowed”
failed post-publication audit: figure '99%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '91%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Vance Leads the 2028 Republican Field, but the Nomination Is Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Is Likely Headed to Brazil's Presidency, but the Margin Is Shrinking”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Vance Leads the 2028 Republican Field, but the Nomination Is Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '19%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Republican Field With Three Years Still to Run”
failed post-publication audit: figure '39%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '46%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's Presidency, but the Race Is Tightening”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '85%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“The Odyssey Leads a Tightening Best Picture Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '60%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's Presidency, but the Race Is Tightening”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Apple Surges Into Contention as NVIDIA's Year-End Lead Narrows Sharply”
failed post-publication audit: figure '88%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '4 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-23 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Is Likely Headed to Brazil's Presidency, but Lula Is Closing Fast”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Jack Lowden Tightens His Grip on Bond, but the Field Stays Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '22%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Vance Leads the 2028 GOP Field but Falls Short of Favorite Status”
failed post-publication audit: figure '39%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '46%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '13%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's Presidency, but the Margin Is Shrinking”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted card · view
“Trump's Approval Rating Is Headed Slightly Higher by Late October”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“France Looks Unlikely to Declare a State of Emergency Before 2027”
failed post-publication audit: figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '12%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's Presidency, but Lula Is Closing In”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted card · view
“Trump's Approval Rating Appears Rangebound Heading Into Fall 2026”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Someone Is Betting Real Money on Whether Elon Merges His Companies”
failed post-publication audit: figure '17%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Flávio Bolsonaro Likely Wins Brazil's Presidency, but the Margin Is Narrow”
failed post-publication audit: figure '89%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“France Looks Unlikely to Declare a State of Emergency Before Year-End”
failed post-publication audit: figure '12%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Vance Leads the 2028 Republican Race, but His Grip Is Slipping”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Real Money Now Leans Toward a Tesla-SpaceX Merger Before 2028”
failed post-publication audit: figure '17%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '79%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“France Looks Unlikely to Declare a State of Emergency This Year”
failed post-publication audit: figure '12%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '24%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Jack Lowden Now Leads the Bond Race, but the Field Remains Wide Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '22%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“J.D. Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Republican Nomination Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Jack Lowden Leads the Next James Bond Race, but the Field Stays Open”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“J.D. Vance Holds a Fragile Lead in a Wide-Open 2028 Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '50%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted card · view
“The 10-Year Treasury Yield Is Virtually Certain to Stay Above 4.75%”
coverage: micro-duration market (<24h) — below the Readable Paper coverage bar; published in error and retracted
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Vance Holds a Fragile Lead in the Wide-Open 2028 Republican Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“A Tesla-SpaceX Merger Increasingly Looks Like a 2027 Story”
failed post-publication audit: figure '79%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Anthropic Is Very Likely to Go Public Before April 2027”
failed post-publication audit: figure '98%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Jack Lowden Leads a Volatile, Unsettled James Bond Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '22%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“J.D. Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Republican Field, but His Grip Is Slipping”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '23-point' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Harry Kane Is Likely to Win the 2026 Ballon d'Or”
failed post-publication audit: figure '43 percent' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Bank of Canada Is Likely to Hike Rates This October”
failed post-publication audit: figure '68%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '85%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Indiana's Data Center Moratorium Looks Unlikely, Though the Debate Is Far From Over”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Vučić's Hold on Serbia's Prime Ministership Is Slipping Into Uncertainty”
failed post-publication audit: figure '34%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '71%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Moskowitz Is Likely to Hold FL-25”
failed post-publication audit: figure '71%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“J.D. Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Republican Nomination Race”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Vučić's Grip on Serbia's Premiership Is Slipping Into Uncertainty”
failed post-publication audit: figure '34%' not in the bound snapshot (±1); figure '71%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“J.D. Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Republican Field”
failed post-publication audit: figure '53%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)
2026-10-22 · retracted article · view
“Democrats Gain Ground Across the 2026 Governor Map”
failed post-publication audit: figure '48%' not in the bound snapshot (±1)