World

A NATO-Russia Military Clash This Year Is Now Unlikely

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “NATO x Russia military clash by...?”

unlikely (12%)
Resolved The money put December 31 at 25% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31 12% Unlikely · Stable · B · tracked 95 days peak 35% (9d ago) · low 16% 17 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 3.0 pts December 31
Traded 24h $56K $13.0M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-03
Source markets 5 3/5 markets agree

Where the money stands

December 31 12% ▼ 3.0
November 30 6% ▼ 1.0
November 15 2% ▼ 1.8

Source markets for this story

Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 10% · +0.5 24h
NATO x Russia military clash by...? Polymarket · December 31 12% · -3.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70%
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? Polymarket · December 31 74% · -7.5 24h
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...? Polymarket · December 31 16% · +5.5 24h
The Money Talks — Russia's Capture of Dobropillia Is Very Likely a Matter of When, Not Whether
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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