Curiosities

Friday, July 24, 2026
Curiosities Kalshi

U.S. Alien Disclosure Remains Unlikely Even by 2029

Four years of UFO hearings, declassified footage, and congressional pressure have produced a 23% ceiling on full disclosure by the end of the Trump term — suggesting the intelligence community's posture is structural, not circumstantial, and won't bend to political theater alone.

Before Jan 20, 2029 23% ▼ 1.0 $128K today
Curiosities Polymarket

GameStop Will Not Acquire eBay

The meme-stock era's appetite for wild corporate pivots has limits — even as GameStop sits on a bitcoin-heavy balance sheet hunting for reinvention, the market prices an eBay takeover as a fringe scenario with no serious catalyst in sight.

Yes 14% $27K today
Curiosities Kalshi

Verizon Will Almost Certainly Say 'Synergy' on Its Next Earnings Call

That people stake real money on corporate buzzword frequency reveals something honest: earnings calls are scripted theater, and the script is predictable enough to beat. 'Rural' is surging as a late contender, suggesting analysts expect Verizon to lean into rural expansion as a fresh talking point.

Synergy 79% ▲ 26.0 $33K today