World

Friedrich Merz Is Likely to Remain Chancellor Through Year-End

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?”

unlikely (21%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 17% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31, 2026 21% Unlikely · Stable · C · tracked 48 days peak 30% (5d ago) · low 12% (18d ago) 4 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 0.5 pts December 31, 2026
Traded 24h $377K $2.2M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01

Where the money stands

December 31, 2026 21% ▲ 0.5
October 31, 2026 16% ▲ 3.5
September 30, 2026 6% 0.1
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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