Worldleaning No government formed

Israel's Post-Election Government Formation Is Now a Coin Flip to Fail

Source: Polymarket market “Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?”

No government formed: a coin flip (54%)
Leading outcome No government formed 54% A coin flip · D probably not → a coin flip
24h move ▲ 17.0 pts No government formed
Traded 24h $17K $72K all time
Resolves by 2028-01-01

Where the money stands

No government formed 54% ▲ 17.0
Other 16% ▼ 25.0
Y + T + B + D + S + U 4% ▼ 5.9
Y + T + B + D 4% ▼ 5.0
Y + T + B + D + R + J 3% ▲ 2.9
L + S + U + O + Z + T 1% 0.4
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