World

Israel's Military Operations Against Lebanon Are Extending Deep Into November

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Israel military action against Lebanon on...?”

virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome November 9 99% Virtually certain · Stable · C likely → virtually certain venues disagree 22.8pp
24h move 0.2 pts November 9
Traded 24h $34K $76K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-01
Source markets 4 4 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

November 9 99% 0.2
November 10 98% ▲ 0.5
November 11 96% ▲ 16.9
November 12 91% ▲ 17.5
November 16 83% ▲ 11.5
November 15 82% ▲ 2.0

Source markets for this story

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Polymarket · Gadi Eizenkot 61%
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? Kalshi · Gadi Eizenkot 50% · -2.0 24h
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? Polymarket · November 9 99%
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) Polymarket · December 31 24% · -0.5 24h
The Money Talks — Israel's Skies Are Very Likely Closing — and the Airspace Shutdown Is Already Being Priced In
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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