Worldone clear front-runner

National Is Unlikely to Win the Next New Zealand General Election

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “New Zealand general election winner?”

National: probably not (37%)
Leading outcome National 37% Probably not · B very likely → probably not
24h move ▼ 57.3 pts National
Traded 24h $53K $81K all time
Resolves by 2027-12-31
Source markets 4 4 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

National 37% ▼ 57.3
Labour 4% 0.2
ACT 1% ▲ 0.9
Opportunity 1% 0.0
Green 0% 0.0
NZ First 0% 0.0

Source markets for this story

New Zealand legislative election winner? Polymarket · National Party 98%
Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? Polymarket · Christopher Luxon 78%
New Zealand general election winner? Kalshi · National 37% · -57.3 24h
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government? Polymarket · National + ACT + NZF 72% · -0.5 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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