Financeall but decided

The Fed Holds in October With Two Dissenters, and a December Hike Is Likely Next

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?”

2: virtually certain (100%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put 2 at 100% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 2 100% Virtually certain · A probably not → virtually certain
24h move ▲ 66.0 pts 2
Traded 24h $29K $74K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-28
Source markets 7 7 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

2 100% ▲ 66.0
0 0% ▼ 22.4
1 0% ▼ 17.4
3 0% ▼ 22.9
4+ 0% ▼ 6.0

Source markets for this story

Fed Decision in December? Polymarket · 25 bps increase 72% · -5.0 24h
Fed decision in Dec 2026? Kalshi · Hike 25bps 71% · -8.0 24h
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Polymarket · 0 (0 bps) 97%
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? Polymarket · 2 (50 bps) 72% · -7.0 24h
Fed Decision in January? Polymarket · No change 70% · +4.0 24h
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Polymarket · Yes 72% · -5.0 24h
Fed Decision in March? Polymarket · No change 45% · -3.0 24h
The Money Talks — The Fed Likely Holds Rates Steady in October — And the Case Is Getting Stronger
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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