Worldleaning Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%

Flávio Bolsonaro's Victory Margin Is a Dead Heat Between Comfortable and Narrow

By Priced In News Staff

Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%: a coin flip (49%)

Leading outcome Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% 49% A coin flip · Stable · A · tracked 7 days venues agree

24h move ▲ 0.5 pts Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%

Traded 24h $54K $479K all time

Resolves by 2026-10-26

Where the money stands

Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% 49% ▲ 0.5

Flávio Bolsonaro <4% 23% ▼ 3.5

Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12% 14% ▼ 1.1

Lula da Silva <4% 10% ▲ 1.0

Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+ 2% 0.3

Lula da Silva 8-12% 1% ▲ 0.8

Brazil Presidential Election Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 86% · -2.0 24h

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% 49% · +0.5 24h

Brazil Presidential election winner? Kalshi · Flávio Bolsonaro 87% · -1.0 24h

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá Polymarket · Flavio Bolsonaro 86% · -7.0 24h

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory Polymarket · Ruas <5% 28% · +8.5 24h