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Democrats Are on Track for a Solid House Popular Vote Margin in 2026

By Priced In News Staff

Democrats, 8 to 10%: unlikely (24%)

Leading outcome Democrats, 8 to 10% 24% Unlikely · Stable · B

24h move ▼ 2.0 pts Democrats, 8 to 10%

Traded 24h $41K $1.4M all time

Resolves by 2027-11-03

Where the money stands

Democrats, 8 to 10% 24% ▼ 2.0

Democrats, 6 to 8% 23% 0.0

Democrats, 10 to 12% 18% 0.0

Democrats, 4 to 6% 10% ▼ 2.0

Republicans win 8% 0.4

Democrats, 12 to 14% 7% ▼ 1.4

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi · D-House, D-Senate 46% · -1.0 24h

Which party will win the U.S. House? Kalshi · Democratic Party 84% · -1.0 24h

Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 52% · +1.0 24h

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) Kalshi · Democrats, 8 to 10% 24% · -2.0 24h

Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 90% · +1.0 24h

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 50%

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary? Polymarket · 10-12 incumbents defeated 76% · +3.3 24h