U.S.odds favor Joe Lombardo (R)

Joe Lombardo Is Favored to Hold Nevada's Governorship in 2026

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Nevada Governor Election Winner”

Joe Lombardo (R): leaning yes (60%)
Leading outcome Joe Lombardo (R) 60% Leaning yes · D
24h move ▲ 1.0 pts Joe Lombardo (R)
Traded 24h $9K $81K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-03

Where the money stands

Joe Lombardo (R) 60% ▲ 1.0
Aaron Ford (D) 40% ▼ 1.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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U.S. Democratic Party on track to win

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Democratic Party: likely (85%)

A split Congress is the most probable outcome of the midterms, meaning legislative gridlock rather than a Democratic governing trifecta — the House flip, if it comes, changes the oversight landscape far more than the policy one.

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Democrats Are Likely Headed for a House Majority, but Its Size Is Anyone's Guess

226-229: unlikely (13%)

While coverage focuses on whether Democrats can flip the House, the money has already largely answered that question — the Senate is the live drama now, with Texas and Iowa making a full Democratic sweep a genuine near-even possibility.

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Ashley Hinson Is Increasingly Favored to Hold Iowa for Republicans

Ashley Hinson: leaning yes (66%)

A seven-point move in a single day hardens what was already a Republican lean into something more durable — and read alongside competitive Democratic positions in Michigan, Maine, and even Texas, it suggests Iowa is quietly slipping off the Democratic target list for 2026.

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