U.S.odds favor Oil ≥ $80; D Senate

Democrats Increasingly Favored to Win the Senate With Oil Above $80

By Priced In News Staff

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: leaning yes (55%)

Leading outcome Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 55% Leaning yes · B a coin flip → leaning yes venues disagree 26.5pp

24h move ▼ 0.6 pts Oil ≥ $80; D Senate

Traded 24h $146K $154K all time

Resolves by 2026-11-04

Where the money stands

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 55% ▼ 0.6

Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 31% ▼ 1.1

Oil < $80; R Senate 8% ▲ 1.7

Oil < $80; D Senate 8% ▲ 2.1

Which party will win the U.S. House? Kalshi · Democratic Party 90%

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi · Democrats sweep 60% · -1.0 24h

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 62%

LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs Polymarket · O/U 3.5 Games 74% · +1.5 24h

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms? Polymarket · Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 52% · +0.5 24h

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · Above 52 35%

Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 90%

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms? Polymarket · Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 55% · -0.6 24h

Which party will win the U.S. Senate? Kalshi · Democratic Party 62%

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? Polymarket · No Hormuz Agreement 89% · +0.5 24h

MN-01 House winner? Kalshi · Brad Finstad 77% · -1.0 24h

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 193 or more Republican seats 85% · +3.6 24h

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 218+ Democratic seats 93% · +2.1 24h

Blue wave in 2026? Kalshi · Yes 82%

MN-05 House winner? Kalshi · Ilhan Omar 93% · +1.8 24h

Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 64%

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms? Polymarket · No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 62%

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms? Polymarket · No Hormuz Agreement 84%

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Polymarket · Yes 99%

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms? Polymarket · No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 58%

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Polymarket · ≤47 38%