Worldall but decided

Israeli Voter Turnout Is Very Likely to Exceed 74%

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout”

74%+: virtually certain (100%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Leading outcome 74%+ 100% Virtually certain · B · tracked 4 days venues disagree 26.0pp
24h move 0.1 pts 74%+
Traded 24h $29K $133K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-28
Source markets 18 18 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

74%+ 100% 0.1
70-72% 0% 0.1
72-74% 0% 0.2
<66% 0% 0.4
66-68% 0% 0.0
68-70% 0% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Polymarket · Benjamin Netanyahu 40% · -4.0 24h
Israeli Legislative Election Winner Polymarket · Likud 99%
Israel Election: Likud # of seats? Polymarket · 20+ Likud seats 100%
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? Kalshi · No one 48% · -3.0 24h
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats? Polymarket · 8+ 97% · +83.8 24h
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats? Polymarket · 10-11 97% · +24.1 24h
Israeli Knesset election annulled? Polymarket · Yes 3%
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government? Polymarket · Gadi Eizenkot 68% · +17.0 24h
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government? Polymarket · Yashar 55% · +11.5 24h
Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place Polymarket · Together 98% · -1.7 24h
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats? Polymarket · 6-7 99% · +4.2 24h
Netanyahu out by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 42% · +3.5 24h
How many Israeli elections before government formed? Polymarket · 1 52% · +3.5 24h
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats? Polymarket · 6-7 95% · +37.9 24h
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? Polymarket · Yes 7% · +1.9 24h
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) Polymarket · December 31 26% · -8.0 24h
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? Polymarket · Yes 1%
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share? Polymarket · <2.75% 96% · +34.1 24h
The Money Talks — Eizenkot's Lead Is Real — But This Race Is Far From Settled
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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