U.S.

California's Billionaire Wealth Tax Is Unlikely to Pass in 2026

Source: Polymarket market “Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?”

unlikely (24%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 34% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Yes 24% Unlikely · Stable · C · tracked 78 days peak 34% (76d ago) · low 21% (5d ago)
24h move ▲ 1.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $171K $4.5M all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04 in 5 days
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page