U.S.38.4% on track to win

Trump's Approval Rating Has Settled at 38.4%

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 29, 2026?”

38.4%: very likely (92%)
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Leading outcome 38.4% 92% Very likely · B unlikely → very likely
24h move ▲ 79.0 pts 38.4%
Traded 24h $105K $106K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-29 Today
Source markets 2 2 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

38.4% 92% ▲ 79.0
38.3% 13% ▲ 3.0
38.5% 3% ▼ 12.0
Below 38.1% 1% ▼ 1.0
38.1% 1% 0.0
38.2% 1% ▼ 4.0

Source markets for this story

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 29, 2026? Kalshi · 38.4% 92% · +79.0 24h
Trump out as President before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 4% · -0.7 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page