Democrats Are Likely to Retake the House in 2026
Source: Polymarket market “Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?”
Leading outcome
≤47 24%
Contested · B
24h move
0.0 pts
≤47
Traded 24h
$42K
$2.8M all time
Resolves by
2026-11-03
Source markets
5
5 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
≤47
24%
0.0
51
16%
▲
2.0
49
14%
0.0
50
14%
0.0
52
13%
▲
1.0
48
12%
0.0
Source markets for this story
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 84%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 46%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi · D-House, D-Senate 43% · +1.0 24h
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket · ≤47 24%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Polymarket · Yes 96% · -0.5 24h
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