U.S.

Democrats Are Likely to Retake the House in 2026

Source: Polymarket market “Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?”

Leading outcome ≤47 24% Contested · B
24h move 0.0 pts ≤47
Traded 24h $42K $2.8M all time
Resolves by 2026-11-03
Source markets 5 5 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

≤47 24% 0.0
51 16% ▲ 2.0
49 14% 0.0
50 14% 0.0
52 13% ▲ 1.0
48 12% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Which party will win the U.S. House? Kalshi · Democratic Party 84%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 46%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi · D-House, D-Senate 43% · +1.0 24h
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Polymarket · Yes 96% · -0.5 24h
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