FinanceExactly 0 cuts on track to win

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Number of rate cuts in 2026?”

Exactly 0 cuts: very likely (93%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Leading outcome Exactly 0 cuts 93% Very likely · Stable · A · tracked 48 days peak 93% (2d ago) · low 85% (32d ago) 5 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 1.6 pts Exactly 0 cuts
Traded 24h $44K $9.1M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 14 14 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Exactly 0 cuts 93% ▲ 1.6
Exactly 1 cut 7% ▲ 0.7
Exactly 2 cuts 2% 0.1
Exactly 6 cuts 0% 0.0
Exactly 14 cuts 0% 0.0
Exactly 5 cuts 0% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Fed Decision in September? Polymarket · 25 bps increase 88%
Fed decision in Sep 2026? Kalshi · Hike 25bps 86%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Polymarket · Yes 96% · +4.0 24h
Fed Decision in October? Polymarket · No change 60% · -1.0 24h
Next Fed rate hike? Kalshi · Before 2028 97%
Fed rate hike by...? Polymarket · October Meeting 90% · +2.0 24h
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting? Kalshi · Above 2.75% 99%
How many dissenting votes at the September Fed meeting? Kalshi · 0 38% · -2.0 24h
Fed Decision in December? Polymarket · 25 bps increase 60% · +2.5 24h
What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference? Kalshi · AI / Artificial Intelligence 91% · +5.0 24h
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Polymarket · 0 (0 bps) 94%
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? Polymarket · 1 (25 bps) 48% · -2.0 24h
What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference? Polymarket · Good Day 92% · +3.5 24h
Fed rate cut by...? Polymarket · December Meeting 4% · -2.8 24h
The Money Talks — The Fed Is Likely to Hike in September — and the Case Is Getting Harder to Dismiss
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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