World

A Total Internet Blackout in Iran Remains Unlikely Through August

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?”

Leading outcome August 31 10% Contested · B
24h move ▼ 0.5 pts August 31
Traded 24h $16K $94K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-31
Source markets 25 25 markets · mixed

Source markets for this story

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...? Polymarket · August 31 14% · -3.0 24h
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Polymarket · December 31 96% · +1.5 24h
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · August 3 100%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause) Polymarket · August 31 90% · +9.0 24h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 16% · -2.0 24h
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? Kalshi · Before Jul 1, 2027 69% · +3.0 24h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Polymarket · December 31 10% · -0.5 24h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Polymarket · December 31 34%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? Polymarket · December 31 44% · -5.5 24h
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Polymarket · September 30 76% · +5.5 24h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 62% · +1.0 24h
Iran full airspace closure by...? Polymarket · December 31 31% · +1.5 24h
Iran leader end of 2026? Polymarket · Mojtaba Khamenei 85% · -0.5 24h
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? Polymarket · August 31 68% · +6.0 24h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Polymarket · Yes 30% · -0.5 24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? Polymarket · Yes 2%
Will Iran target a Arab country on...? Polymarket · August 16 12% · -2.0 24h
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Polymarket · Yes 74% · +8.5 24h
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Polymarket · December 31 8% · -1.0 24h
Iran leadership change by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 22% · +2.0 24h
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 6%
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...? Polymarket · August 15 2% · -1.1 24h
US charges Hormuz fees by...? Polymarket · December 31 8%
Iran invades Kuwait by...? Polymarket · August 31 2%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...? Polymarket · August 31 10% · -0.5 24h
The Money Talks — The Hormuz Blockage Won't Break by August — But the End Is Now in Sight
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