Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks Are Leaning Toward Happening by Year-End
Source: Polymarket market “Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?”
leaning yes (69%)
Leading outcome
December 31 69%
Leaning yes · Falling · B · tracked 55 days
peak 74% (15d ago) · low 46% (22d ago)
4 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
0.5 pts
December 31
Traded 24h
$15K
$895K all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
Source markets
10
10 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
December 31
69%
▲
0.5
November 30
62%
▲
3.5
October 31
45%
▲
3.0
October 15
28%
▲
1.5
September 30
6%
0.2
Source markets for this story
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 12%
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Polymarket · Yes 100%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Polymarket · China 65% · -1.0 24h
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Polymarket · December 31 30% · -1.0 24h
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Polymarket · Druzkhivka 40%
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Polymarket · 59-62% 100% · +1.6 24h
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
Polymarket · December 31 69% · +0.5 24h
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Polymarket · Yes 8% · +1.5 24h
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
Polymarket · December 31 26%
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
Polymarket · No meeting before 2027 92%
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