World

Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks Are Leaning Toward Happening by Year-End

Source: Polymarket market “Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?”

leaning yes (69%)
Resolved The money put December 31 at 46% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31 69% Leaning yes · Falling · B · tracked 55 days peak 74% (15d ago) · low 46% (22d ago) 4 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 0.5 pts December 31
Traded 24h $15K $895K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
Source markets 10 10 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

December 31 69% ▲ 0.5
November 30 62% ▲ 3.5
October 31 45% ▲ 3.0
October 15 28% ▲ 1.5
September 30 6% 0.2

Source markets for this story

Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 12%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? Polymarket · China 65% · -1.0 24h
NATO x Russia military clash by...? Polymarket · December 31 30% · -1.0 24h
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? Polymarket · Druzkhivka 40%
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout Polymarket · 59-62% 100% · +1.6 24h
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? Polymarket · December 31 69% · +0.5 24h
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Polymarket · Yes 8% · +1.5 24h
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? Polymarket · No meeting before 2027 92%
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