World

A Houthi Tanker Seizure This Month Is Unlikely

Source: Polymarket market “Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?”

unlikely (16%)
Leading outcome September 30 16% Unlikely · C leaning yes → unlikely
24h move ▼ 11.0 pts September 30
Traded 24h $15K $15K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-01
Source markets 2 2 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

September 30 16% ▼ 11.0
September 15 6% ▼ 43.0

Source markets for this story

Houthis enter Aden by...? Polymarket · December 31 36% · -9.5 24h
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...? Polymarket · September 30 16% · -11.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page