SportsHarry Kane on track to win

Harry Kane Leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or Race as Yamal Fades

Source: Polymarket market “Ballon d'Or Winner 2026”

Harry Kane: likely (76%)
Leading outcome Harry Kane 76% Likely · Rising · A · tracked 85 days peak 76% · low 43% (21d ago) 9 tier changes over tracking period venues agree
24h move ▲ 1.4 pts Harry Kane
Traded 24h $1.4M $57.8M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 6 6 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Harry Kane 76% ▲ 1.4
Lamine Yamal 18% ▼ 2.1
Kylian Mbappé 4% 0.2
Lionel Messi 2% 0.2
Rodri 0% 0.1
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 0% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Polymarket · Harry Kane 76% · +1.4 24h
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? Kalshi · Harry Kane 76% · +2.0 24h
Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026 Polymarket · Harry Kane 97% · +0.8 24h
Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place Polymarket · Kylian Mbappé 72% · +7.0 24h
Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place Polymarket · Lamine Yamal 70% · +6.5 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page