Harry Kane Leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or Race as Yamal Fades
Source: Polymarket market “Ballon d'Or Winner 2026”
Harry Kane: likely (76%)
Leading outcome
Harry Kane 76%
Likely · Rising · A · tracked 85 days
peak 76% · low 43% (21d ago)
9 tier changes over tracking period
venues agree
24h move
▲
1.4 pts
Harry Kane
Traded 24h
$1.4M
$57.8M all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
6
6 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Harry Kane
76%
▲
1.4
Lamine Yamal
18%
▼
2.1
Kylian Mbappé
4%
0.2
Lionel Messi
2%
0.2
Rodri
0%
0.1
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
0%
0.0
Source markets for this story
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Polymarket · Harry Kane 76% · +1.4 24h
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
Kalshi · Harry Kane 76% · +2.0 24h
Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
Polymarket · Harry Kane 97% · +0.8 24h
Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place
Polymarket · Kylian Mbappé 72% · +7.0 24h
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Polymarket · Yes 72% · +6.5 24h
Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
Polymarket · Lamine Yamal 70% · +6.5 24h
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