Curiosities

A Tesla-SpaceX Merger Is Now a Coin-Flip Possibility by End of 2027

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?”

leaning yes (66%)
Resolved The money put December 31 at 18% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31, 2027 66% Leaning yes · Stable · C · tracked 93 days peak 79% (45d ago) · low 17% (92d ago) 6 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 1.0 pts December 31, 2027
Traded 24h $23K $1.6M all time
Resolves by 2028-01-01

Where the money stands

December 31, 2027 66% ▼ 1.0
June 30, 2027 52% ▼ 3.5
February 28, 2027 37% ▼ 3.0
January 31, 2027 23% ▼ 1.5
December 31, 2026 20% ▲ 2.5
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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very unlikely (3%)

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Updated 4:10 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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traded today $38K venue Polymarket grade C tracked 91 days