Between 14 and 19 Major Earthquakes Will Likely Strike in 2026
Source: Polymarket market “How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?”
14–19 major earthquakes: likely (88%)
Leading outcome
14–19 major earthquakes 88%
Likely · Rising · C · tracked 82 days
peak 87% · low 40% (80d ago)
2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
4.5 pts
14–19 major earthquakes
Traded 24h
$35K
$1.5M all time
Resolves by
2027-01-08
Where the money stands
14–16
54%
▲
5.0
17–19
34%
▼
0.5
20+
4%
▼
0.9
11–13
4%
0.2
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