2026 Is on Track for a Normal Year of Major Earthquakes
Source: Polymarket market “How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?”
14–16: probably not (41%)
Leading outcome
14–16 41%
Probably not · D
24h move
▼
0.5 pts
14–16
Traded 24h
$12K
$1.4M all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
Where the money stands
14–16
41%
▼
0.5
17–19
36%
▼
1.5
20+
12%
▼
1.5
11–13
10%
0.0
8–10
0%
▼
0.5
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