World

France Is Likely to Stop Short of a Full State of Emergency This Year

Source: Polymarket market “France declares state of emergency by...?”

unlikely (19%)
Leading outcome December 31 19% Unlikely · B
24h move 0.0 pts December 31
Traded 24h $35K $32K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 5 3/5 markets agree

Where the money stands

December 31 19% 0.0
October 31 10% 0.0
October 21 3% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Next French Presidential Election Polymarket · Marine Le Pen 47% · -0.9 24h
Paris curfew announced by...? Polymarket · October 24 66% · +41.5 24h
Curfew in a major French city by...? Polymarket · December 31 90%
France declares state of emergency by...? Polymarket · December 31 19%
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page