U.S.

Democrats Hold a Narrow Edge in the Michigan Senate Race

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Michigan Senate Election Winner”

Leading outcome Democrat 59% Leaning
24h move ▼ 5.5 pts Democrat
Traded 24h $21K $183K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-03
Source markets 15 15 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Democrat 59% ▼ 5.5
Republican 41% ▲ 4.5

Source markets for this story

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee? Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 99% · +1.3 24h
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3% 98% · +95.0 24h
MI-13 Democratic nominee? Kalshi · Donavan McKinney 96% · +8.8 24h
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed 100% · +1.4 24h
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner Polymarket · Donavan McKinney 94% · +7.0 24h
Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 63% · -3.0 24h
Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent Kalshi · At least 40% 99%
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory Polymarket · El-Sayed <5% 94% · +92.8 24h
Michigan Senate winner? Kalshi · Democratic party 64% · +1.0 24h
Michigan Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout Kalshi · Above 900k 99%
Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win? Kalshi · Grand Traverse 99% · +1.0 24h
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Macomb County Winner Polymarket · Haley Stevens 98% · +93.0 24h
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner Polymarket · Haley Stevens 99% · +15.2 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Democrat 59% · -5.5 24h
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) Winner Polymarket · Haley Stevens 93% · +89.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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