Curiosities

Whether Washington Delists Alibaba Is a Genuine Coin Flip

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?”

a coin flip (50%)
Leading outcome Alibaba 50% A coin flip · D
24h move ▲ 1.5 pts Alibaba
Traded 24h $13K $26K all time
Resolves by 2027-06-30

Where the money stands

Alibaba 50% ▲ 1.5
CATL 49% ▼ 3.5
CXMT 46% ▲ 3.5
Baidu 44% ▲ 6.0
Unitree 40% ▼ 6.0
YMTC 38% ▼ 3.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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No Alien Disclosure Is Coming Before 2027

very unlikely (6%)

Despite the topic trending in news feeds, the money is unmoved — this is a story the public keeps telling itself that the evidence consistently refuses to confirm, a gap that is itself the curiosity.

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California's Billionaire Wealth Tax Faces Long Odds in 2026

probably not (34%)

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Jesus Christ Will Not Return Before 2027

virtually impossible (2%)

Sixty-five million dollars staked on the Second Coming — at 2% — says more about human anxiety than theology; the money is nearly unanimous, but the fact that tens of thousands of dollars flow through this market at all reveals an itch that no amount of rationalism fully scratches.

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traded today $13K venue Polymarket grade D