Curiositiesone clear front-runner

AI Is Now Expected to Crack Another Millennium Prize Problem — Probably the Hodge Conjecture

Source: Polymarket market “Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?”

Hodge Conjecture: probably not (42%)
Leading outcome Hodge Conjecture 42% Probably not · B leaning yes → probably not
24h move ▲ 16.0 pts Hodge Conjecture
Traded 24h $47K $51K all time
Resolves by 2028-01-01
Source markets 6 6 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Hodge Conjecture 42% ▲ 16.0
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer 20% ▲ 1.0
No solution by Dec 31, 2027 15% ▼ 25.5
Yang-Mills 9% ▲ 6.7
Riemann Hypothesis 4% ▼ 9.3
P versus NP 1% ▼ 1.8

Source markets for this story

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 86% · +19.5 24h
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? Polymarket · Hodge Conjecture 42% · +16.0 24h
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 94% · +48.5 24h
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? Polymarket · December 31, 2028 38% · -22.0 24h
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 68% · +22.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page