AI Is Now Expected to Crack Another Millennium Prize Problem — Probably the Hodge Conjecture
Source: Polymarket market “Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?”
Hodge Conjecture: probably not (42%)
Leading outcome
Hodge Conjecture 42%
Probably not · B
leaning yes → probably not
24h move
▲
16.0 pts
Hodge Conjecture
Traded 24h
$47K
$51K all time
Resolves by
2028-01-01
Source markets
6
6 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Hodge Conjecture
42%
▲
16.0
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
20%
▲
1.0
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
15%
▼
25.5
Yang-Mills
9%
▲
6.7
Riemann Hypothesis
4%
▼
9.3
P versus NP
1%
▼
1.8
Source markets for this story
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 86% · +19.5 24h
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
Polymarket · Hodge Conjecture 42% · +16.0 24h
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 94% · +48.5 24h
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
Polymarket · December 31, 2028 38% · -22.0 24h
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 68% · +22.0 24h
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Polymarket · 2 40% · +26.5 24h
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