Curiositiesleaning No solution by Dec 31, 2027

AI Solving a Millennium Prize Problem by 2027 Is Now a Coin Flip

Source: Polymarket market “Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?”

No solution by Dec 31, 2027: a coin flip (46%)
Resolved The money put Hodge Conjecture at 42% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome No solution by Dec 31, 2027 46% A coin flip · Rising · C · tracked 48 days peak 74% (39d ago) · low 28% (47d ago) leaning yes → a coin flip 3 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 11.5 pts No solution by Dec 31, 2027
Traded 24h $24K $300K all time
Resolves by 2028-01-01

Where the money stands

No solution by Dec 31, 2027 46% ▲ 11.5
Yang-Mills 19% ▲ 8.8
Hodge Conjecture 12% ▼ 23.0
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer 10% ▼ 6.0
Riemann Hypothesis 2% 0.1
P versus NP 1% ▼ 0.9
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page