U.S.38.8% on track to win

Trump's Approval Rating Is Very Likely to Sit at 38.8% on October 24

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 24, 2026?”

38.8%: very likely (93%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Leading outcome 38.8% 93% Very likely · B · tracked 8 days probably not → very likely venues disagree 24.6pp
24h move ▲ 52.0 pts 38.8%
Traded 24h $334K $350K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-24

Where the money stands

38.8% 93% ▲ 52.0
38.9% 4% ▼ 7.0
Below 38.4% 1% ▼ 1.0
38.4% 1% ▼ 1.0
38.5% 1% ▼ 1.0
38.6% 1% ▼ 4.0
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