U.S.Peggy Flanagan on track to win

Peggy Flanagan Is Poised to Win Minnesota's Senate Race

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Minnesota Senate winner?”

Peggy Flanagan: very likely (92%)
Leading outcome Peggy Flanagan 92% Very likely · A
24h move 0.2 pts Peggy Flanagan
Traded 24h $47K $146K all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03
Source markets 11 11 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Peggy Flanagan 92% 0.2
Michele Tafoya 10% ▲ 1.6

Source markets for this story

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Kalshi · Darline Graham 79% · +8.0 24h
Ohio Senate winner? Kalshi · Jon Husted 51%
Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 55% · +4.0 24h
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone 77% · +3.4 24h
Michigan Senate winner? Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 58% · +1.0 24h
Maine Senate winner? Kalshi · Troy Jackson 67% · +2.0 24h
Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee? Kalshi · Ed Markey 85% · +1.0 24h
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone 99%
Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 62% · +8.0 24h
Minnesota Senate winner? Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 92%
Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 52%
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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Democratic Party: likely (85%)

A split Congress is the most probable outcome of the midterms, meaning legislative gridlock rather than a Democratic governing trifecta — the House flip, if it comes, changes the oversight landscape far more than the policy one.

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U.S. David Crowley (D) on track to win

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David Crowley (D): likely (78%)

Crowley's primary is already settled — he won it narrowly but decisively — and the general election now tilts clearly Democratic, leaving Tom Tiffany as the underdog in a race that has shifted sharply against Republicans.

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