U.S.David Crowley on track to win

David Crowley Likely Wins Wisconsin's Governorship, but the Race Has Shifted Before

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Wisconsin Governor winner?”

David Crowley: likely (84%)
Resolved The money put Republican party at 52% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome David Crowley 84% Likely · Rising · B · tracked 88 days peak 84% (1d ago) · low 52% (87d ago) 6 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 1.0 pts David Crowley
Traded 24h $68K $1.7M all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03

Where the money stands

David Crowley 84% ▼ 1.0
Tom Tiffany 17% ▲ 1.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from U.S.

U.S. Abdul El-Sayed (D) on track to win

Abdul El-Sayed Likely Wins Michigan's Senate Race in 2026

Abdul El-Sayed (D): likely (75%)

What had been a lean is now a firm Democratic advantage — and the broader Senate picture reinforces it, with Democrats also favored in Texas and Alaska while Republican holds in Kansas and Iowa have softened, pointing to a map that is moving against the GOP.

Updated 4:50 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $541K markets read 91 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 87 days range 76% (0d ago) – 56% (75d ago) resolves in 5 days trending in today's news venues disagree 27.0pp
U.S. wide open

JD Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Presidential Field at a Thin 19%

JD Vance: unlikely (19%)

A plurality this slim is a statement of disorder, not dominance — Vance holds the Republican nomination at roughly even odds but converts that into only a 19% general-election chance, while Marco Rubio's quiet rise and a fractured Democratic field mean 2028 has no front-runner in any meaningful sense.

Updated 8:53 AM ET ▼ drifting down for days
the numbers
traded today $244K markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 93 days range 25% (57d ago) – 17% (0d ago) trending in today's news venues disagree 19.9pp
U.S.

California's Billionaire Wealth Tax Is Unlikely to Pass in 2026

unlikely (24%)

What had been a long-shot "probably not" has slipped further — the money now rates passage as unlikely, a confidence-tier drop that reflects deepening skepticism about California voters endorsing a one-time levy even in a favorable political environment.

Updated 12:50 AM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $14K venue Polymarket grade C tracked 78 days range 34% (76d ago) – 21% (5d ago) resolves in 5 days trending in today's news