U.S.38.4% on track to win

Trump's Approval Rating Is Locked In at 38.4% for October 27

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 27, 2026?”

38.4%: likely (83%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put 38.4% at 43% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 38.4% 83% Likely · C very unlikely → likely
24h move ▲ 73.0 pts 38.4%
Traded 24h $344K $363K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-27 Today

Where the money stands

38.4% 83% ▲ 73.0
38.6% 8% ▲ 1.0
38.3% 4% ▼ 6.0
38.5% 4% ▼ 3.0
38.7% 2% ▼ 3.0
38.8% 2% ▼ 2.0
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