U.S.

Alito's Retirement Is Now a Coin Flip Through Mid-2027

Source: Polymarket market “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?”

a coin flip (52%)
Resolved The money put June 30, 2027 at 40% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome June 30, 2027 52% A coin flip · Falling · C · tracked 92 days peak 59% (18d ago) · low 28% (85d ago) probably not → a coin flip 4 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 10.0 pts June 30, 2027
Traded 24h $37K $4.6M all time
Resolves by 2027-07-01

Where the money stands

June 30, 2027 52% ▲ 10.0
December 31 18% ▲ 2.5
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page