World

Von der Leyen's Ukraine Visit Is Now a Coin Flip as Western Diplomatic Momentum Stalls

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?”

a coin flip (51%)
Resolved The money put António Costa at 84% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Ursula von der Leyen 51% A coin flip · Rising · B · tracked 93 days peak 98% (54d ago) · low 42% (11d ago) leaning yes → a coin flip 9 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 8.5 pts Ursula von der Leyen
Traded 24h $42K $715K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 9 9 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Ursula von der Leyen 51% ▼ 8.5
Mark Rutte 46% ▼ 5.0
Melania Trump 26% ▼ 2.0
António Guterres 14% ▲ 0.5
Emmanuel Macron 11% 0.0
Mark Carney 8% ▼ 0.5

Source markets for this story

NBA: 2027 Champion Polymarket · San Antonio Spurs 22%
Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70% · -0.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 54% · +1.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? Polymarket · December 31 85% · -2.5 24h
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...? Polymarket · December 31 44% · +10.5 24h
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? Polymarket · No meeting before 2027 93% · +1.1 24h
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Polymarket · Yes 8%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 61% · +1.0 24h
The Money Talks — Russia's Capture of Dobropillia Is Very Likely a Matter of When, Not Whether
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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