Finance0 (0 bps) on track to win

The Fed Is Very Likely to Hold Rates Steady All of 2026

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?”

0 (0 bps): very likely (97%)
Leading outcome 0 (0 bps) 97% Very likely · Stable · A · tracked 93 days peak 97% (32d ago) · low 85% (73d ago) 2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move 0.3 pts 0 (0 bps)
Traded 24h $121K $55.1M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 7 7 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

0 (0 bps) 97% 0.3
1 (25 bps) 1% 0.2
2 (50 bps) 0% 0.3
3 (75 bps) 0% 0.1
4 (100 bps) 0% 0.1
7 (175 bps) 0% 0.1

Source markets for this story

Fed Decision in December? Polymarket · 25 bps increase 72% · -5.0 24h
Fed decision in Dec 2026? Kalshi · Hike 25bps 71% · -8.0 24h
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Polymarket · 0 (0 bps) 97%
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? Polymarket · 2 (50 bps) 72% · -7.0 24h
Fed Decision in January? Polymarket · No change 70% · +4.0 24h
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Polymarket · Yes 72% · -5.0 24h
Fed Decision in March? Polymarket · No change 45% · -3.0 24h
The Money Talks — The Fed Likely Holds Rates Steady in October — And the Case Is Getting Stronger
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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