Gemini Leads the AI Race but the Crown Is a Coin Flip
Source: Kalshi market “Best AI at the end of 2026?”
Gemini: leaning yes (55%)
Leading outcome
Gemini 55%
Leaning yes · Stable · A · tracked 93 days
peak 76% (31d ago) · low 42% (21d ago)
7 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
8.9 pts
Gemini
Traded 24h
$159K
$16.1M all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
Source markets
4
4 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Gemini
55%
▲
8.9
Claude
35%
▼
9.7
ChatGPT
7%
0.3
Grok
2%
0.0
Muse
1%
0.0
Kimi
1%
0.0
Source markets for this story
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Kalshi · Gemini 55% · +8.9 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Polymarket · Google 98%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Polymarket · Google 58% · +9.0 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Polymarket · Google 68% · -2.5 24h
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