Worldodds favor Gemini

Gemini Leads the AI Race but the Crown Is a Coin Flip

Source: Kalshi market “Best AI at the end of 2026?”

Gemini: leaning yes (55%)
Resolved The money put Claude at 69% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Gemini 55% Leaning yes · Stable · A · tracked 93 days peak 76% (31d ago) · low 42% (21d ago) 7 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 8.9 pts Gemini
Traded 24h $159K $16.1M all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
Source markets 4 4 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Gemini 55% ▲ 8.9
Claude 35% ▼ 9.7
ChatGPT 7% 0.3
Grok 2% 0.0
Muse 1% 0.0
Kimi 1% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Gemini 55% · +8.9 24h
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? Polymarket · Google 58% · +9.0 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of November? Polymarket · Google 68% · -2.5 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page