The 10-Year Treasury Yield Is Virtually Certain to Stay Above 4.75%
Source: Kalshi market “10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026?”
virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome
4.76% or above 99%
Virtually certain · C · tracked 9 days
24h move
0.0 pts
4.76% or above
Traded 24h
$80K
$80K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-22
Where the money stands
4.76% or above
99%
0.0
4.78% or above
99%
0.0
4.8% or above
99%
0.0
4.82% or above
99%
0.0
4.84% or above
99%
0.0
4.86% or above
99%
0.0
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.