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Anthropic's IPO Valuation Is Wide Open Above $2 Trillion

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?”

$2.00–$2.25T: unlikely (22%)
Leading outcome $2.00–$2.25T 22% Unlikely · Stable · C · tracked 9 days a coin flip → unlikely venues disagree 37.0pp
24h move ▲ 3.0 pts $2.00–$2.25T
Traded 24h $8K $80K all time
Resolves by 2028-01-01
Source markets 22 22 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

$2.00–$2.25T 22% ▲ 3.0
$2.50T+ 17% ▲ 10.2
$1.75–$2.00T 14% ▼ 32.0
$2.25–$2.50T 13% ▼ 7.5
$1.50–$1.75T 7% ▲ 2.7
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2% ▼ 0.8

Source markets for this story

Anthropic IPO by __? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 80% · -3.0 24h
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Polymarket · ↑$1.5T 89% · +0.5 24h
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · $2.0–$2.25T 24%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · 1.5T+ 61% · -7.0 24h
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? Polymarket · $2.00–$2.25T 22% · +3.0 24h
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be? Polymarket · <$1T 18% · +4.0 24h
In which month will Anthropic IPO? Polymarket · November 2026 51% · -3.5 24h
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Kalshi · Before Apr 1, 2027 91%
OpenAI IPO by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 57%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? Polymarket · $800B 80% · -2.5 24h
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Polymarket · Anthropic 54% · -1.9 24h
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · No IPO by December 31, 2026 97%
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) Polymarket · 1.8T+ 82% · -1.0 24h
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Polymarket · Yes 95%
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets) Polymarket · 600B+ 96%
Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? Kalshi · Morgan Stanley 79% · +1.0 24h
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? Kalshi · Before Jun 1, 2027 52% · +23.0 24h
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Kalshi · Anthropic 91%
Which banks will take OpenAI public? Kalshi · Stifel Financial 44%
Which banks will take Anthropic public? Kalshi · Mizuho 84%
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO? Kalshi · Goldman Sachs 79%
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO? Polymarket · $100B+ 50% · +5.5 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

The AI IPO beat · compare all

Anthropic, OpenAI and the other AI labs on their way to public markets — when, at what valuation, and who goes first. Grouped so the two races can be read side by side.

Finance

Anthropic Is Likely to Go Public Before 2027

likely (78%)

What had been a lean is now a likely call — but this market has swung across conviction rungs four times, so the verdict is directional, not final. An Anthropic IPO by year-end would reshape the AI funding landscape and set a valuation benchmark every rival lab would be measured against.

Updated 11:14 AM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $6K venue Polymarket grade D AI IPO beat
Finance

SpaceX Will Not Join the S&P 500 This Year

virtually impossible (2%)

An IPO and index inclusion in the same calendar year was always a near-impossibility, and the money treats it as a virtual certainty that 2026 ends without SpaceX on the index — the question of when, not whether, remains the live debate.

Updated 11:14 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $0 venue Polymarket grade D AI IPO beat

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