FinanceHike 25bps on track to win

The Fed Is Likely to Hike Rates in December

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Fed decision in Dec 2026?”

Hike 25bps: likely (80%)
Resolved The money put Hike 25bps at 80% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Hike 25bps 80% Likely · Falling · C · tracked 8 days peak 82% (7d ago) · low 70% (3d ago) leaning yes → likely 2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 9.0 pts Hike 25bps
Traded 24h $72K $2.7M all time
Resolves by 2026-12-09

Where the money stands

Hike 25bps 80% ▲ 9.0
Fed maintains rate 20% ▼ 7.0
Cut 25bps 2% ▲ 1.0
Cut >25bps 1% 0.0
Hike >25bps 1% ▼ 1.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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