Finance

Anthropic or OpenAI Will Very Likely IPO Before the End of 2027

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?”

very likely (95%)
Leading outcome Yes 95% Very likely · Rising · C · tracked 32 days peak 95% · low 84% (30d ago)
24h move ▼ 1.8 pts Yes
Traded 24h $18K $358K all time
Resolves by 2027-12-31
Source markets 3 3 markets · mixed

Source markets for this story

Anthropic IPO by __? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 90% · +1.0 24h
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Polymarket · Yes 95% · -1.8 24h
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Polymarket · ↑$1.5T 96%
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from Finance

Finance odds favor 25 bps increase

The Fed Is Now Leaning Toward a September Rate Hike

25 bps increase: leaning yes (64%)

What had been a coin flip is now a clear lean: the money increasingly prices a tightening cycle resuming this autumn, with no cuts expected in 2026 and a hike by October also gaining ground — a significant shift in the interest-rate outlook that puts pressure on borrowers and rate-sensitive assets.

Updated 10:06 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $6.3M markets read 11 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 44 days range 74% (25d ago) – 48% (35d ago) resolves in 5 days a coin flip → leaning yes 12 tier changes
Finance

The 10-Year Treasury Yield Is Very Likely to Hit 5% This Year

very likely (94%)

What was leaning probable yesterday is now a near-conviction call — but this market has swung across four certainty rungs since tracking began, so the 94% reading reflects a sharp directional bet, not a settled consensus; a reversal remains plausible.

Updated 6:05 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $20K markets read 2 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 42 days range 94% (3d ago) – 40% (2d ago) leaning yes → likely 5 tier changes
Finance

Hormuz Traffic Looks Stuck Through Year-End — With a Slim Chance of a Deal

unlikely (20%)

A September or October normalization is essentially ruled out, and the slim uptick in December odds reflects a nascent Iran-Oman diplomatic track rather than any improvement on the water — a deal by October sits at near-coin-flip, making that the only live escape valve before 2027.

Updated 6:51 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $236K markets read 10 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 44 days range 62% (36d ago) – 16% (0d ago) 4 tier changes