The S&P 500 Is Very Likely to Close Above 7,000 by Year-End
Source: Kalshi market “S&P close price end of 2026?”
S&P above 7,000: very likely (93%)
Leading outcome
S&P above 7,000 93%
Very likely · Stable · C · tracked 103 days
peak 97% (36d ago) · low 16% (76d ago)
likely → very likely
12 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
1.0 pts
S&P above 7,000
Traded 24h
$69K
$9.1M all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
Where the money stands
7,800 to 7,999.99
29%
▲
4.0
7,600 to 7,799.99
19%
▼
6.0
7,400 to 7,599.99
14%
▼
4.0
8,000 to 8,199.99
12%
▲
7.0
7,200 to 7,399.99
9%
0.0
7,000 to 7,199.99
4%
▼
1.0
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