Finance

The S&P 500 Is Very Likely to Close Above 7,000 by Year-End

Source: Kalshi market “S&P close price end of 2026?”

S&P above 7,000: very likely (93%)
Resolved The money put 7,800 to 7,999.99 at 16% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome S&P above 7,000 93% Very likely · Stable · C · tracked 103 days peak 97% (36d ago) · low 16% (76d ago) likely → very likely 12 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 1.0 pts S&P above 7,000
Traded 24h $69K $9.1M all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31

Where the money stands

7,800 to 7,999.99 29% ▲ 4.0
7,600 to 7,799.99 19% ▼ 6.0
7,400 to 7,599.99 14% ▼ 4.0
8,000 to 8,199.99 12% ▲ 7.0
7,200 to 7,399.99 9% 0.0
7,000 to 7,199.99 4% ▼ 1.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page