The S&P 500 Is Likely to Close Above 7,000 by Year-End
Source: Kalshi market “S&P close price end of 2026?”
S&P above 7,000: likely (88%)
Leading outcome
S&P above 7,000 88%
Likely · Stable · C · tracked 56 days
peak 92% (4d ago) · low 16% (29d ago)
very likely → likely
3 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
1.0 pts
S&P above 7,000
Traded 24h
$77K
$7.1M all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
Where the money stands
7,800 to 7,999.99
19%
▼
1.0
8,000 to 8,199.99
18%
▲
1.0
7,600 to 7,799.99
14%
▲
1.0
8,200 to 8,399.99
11%
0.0
7,400 to 7,599.99
7%
▼
3.0
7,200 to 7,399.99
6%
▲
1.0
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