Bitcoin's November Rally Has Lost Conviction
Source: Kalshi market “How high will BTC get in November?”
leaning yes (67%)
Leading outcome
Above $80,000.00 67%
Leaning yes · Falling · A
peak 84% (1d ago) · low 68%
likely → leaning yes
2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
18.0 pts
Above $80,000.00
Traded 24h
$199K
$349K all time
Resolves by
2026-12-01
Source markets
10
10 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Above $80,000.00
67%
▼
18.0
Above $82,500.00
48%
▼
12.0
Above $85,000.00
32%
▼
8.0
Above $87,500.00
23%
▼
9.0
Above $90,000.00
18%
▼
5.0
Above $92,500.00
10%
▼
9.0
Source markets for this story
What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
Polymarket · ↑ 77,500 90%
Bitcoin above ___ on November 3?
Polymarket · 70,000 100%
BTC price on Nov 3, 2026 at 5pm EST?
Kalshi · $67,500 or above 100%
BTC price on Nov 3, 2026 at 2am EST?
Kalshi · $68,100 or above 100%
How high will BTC get in November?
Kalshi · Above $80,000.00 67% · -18.0 24h
What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?
Polymarket · ↓ 76,000 88% · +32.0 24h
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Polymarket · ↓ 70,000 48% · +5.0 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on November 4?
Polymarket · 70,000 99%
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?
Polymarket · Yes 24% · -26.5 24h
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 3?
Polymarket · ↑ 77,000 79%
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