OpenAI Is Likely Not Going Public This Year
Source: Polymarket market “OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap”
No IPO by December 31, 2026: likely (88%)
Leading outcome
No IPO by December 31, 2026 88%
Likely · C
24h move
▲
4.5 pts
No IPO by December 31, 2026
Traded 24h
$47K
$2.1M all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
2
2 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
No IPO by December 31, 2026
88%
▲
4.5
1.5T+
5%
▼
2.5
750B–1T
2%
▼
2.1
1T–1.25T
2%
▼
2.5
1.25T–1.5T
1%
0.3
500–750B
0%
0.0
Source markets for this story
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket · No IPO by December 31, 2026 88% · +4.5 24h
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
Polymarket · October 31 91% · -1.5 24h
Get an alert when Openai moves.
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.