Financewide open

Anthropic's IPO Is Poised to Land Above $115 Billion

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?”

$95B to $105B: unlikely (23%)
Leading outcome $95B to $105B 23% Unlikely · B leaning yes → unlikely venues disagree 59.9pp
24h move ▼ 10.2 pts $95B to $105B
Traded 24h $40K $40K all time
Resolves by 2028-01-01
Source markets 17 17 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

$95B to $105B 23% ▼ 10.2
$105B to $115B 22% ▼ 2.5
$85B to $95B 20% ▼ 4.0
$115B to $125B 20% ▲ 0.5
$75B to $85B 9% ▼ 24.5
$65B to $75B 2% ▼ 31.4

Source markets for this story

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Kalshi · Before Apr 1, 2027 97% · +1.0 24h
Anthropic IPO by __? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 96% · +2.2 24h
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · $1.75–$2.0T 30% · +1.0 24h
How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO? Polymarket · $95B to $105B 23% · -10.2 24h
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Polymarket · ↑$1.5T 96%
Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? Kalshi · Goldman Sachs 96% · +3.0 24h
What will Anthropic's public ticker be? Polymarket · $ANT 97% · -2.2 24h
Anthropic IPO Date Polymarket · November 19 22% · +0.5 24h
In which month will Anthropic IPO? Polymarket · November 2026 89% · +1.4 24h
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Polymarket · Yes 97% · +0.5 24h
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Kalshi · Anthropic 99% · +2.0 24h
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? Polymarket · $1.50–$1.75T 52% · +1.9 24h
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Polymarket · SpaceX 58% · +3.0 24h
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) Polymarket · 1.8T+ 76% · +9.5 24h
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? Polymarket · Yes 84%
Will Dario Amodei hold super-voting Anthropic shares at IPO? Kalshi · Yes 6% · -8.0 24h
Which banks will take Anthropic public? Kalshi · Mizuho 92%
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

The AI IPO beat · compare all

Anthropic, OpenAI and the other AI labs on their way to public markets — when, at what valuation, and who goes first. Grouped so the two races can be read side by side.

Finance wide open

OpenAI's IPO Valuation Below $1 Trillion Is Probably Not the Outcome

<$1T: unlikely (24%)

A sub-$1T valuation has shifted from unlikely to probably not the base case, with the $1.25T–$1.5T band surging as the new consensus sweet spot — though with Anthropic almost certain to IPO first and OpenAI's own listing still only 40% likely before mid-2027, the valuation debate may be premature.

Updated 5:16 AM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $45K markets read 10 venue Polymarket grade B trending in today's news probably not → unlikely AI IPO beat
Finance

SpaceX Will Very Likely Stay Private Through 2026

very unlikely (3%)

Elon Musk's rocket company joining the S&P 500 this year remains a remote scenario — no IPO, no index inclusion, and thin trading volume suggests even dedicated watchers have largely stopped debating the timeline.

Updated 5:16 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $0 venue Polymarket grade D AI IPO beat

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traded today $35K markets read 10 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 75 days range 40% (73d ago) – 18% (32d ago) trending in today's news probably not → unlikely 6 tier changes venues disagree 59.0pp AI IPO beat