Finance

The Next Fable Model Is Likely to Hit a Top-Tier Arena Score

Source: Polymarket market “Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?”

likely (79%)
Resolved The money put 1500+ at 94% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 1500+ 79% Likely · Falling · B · tracked 4 days peak 94% (2d ago) · low 68% (1d ago) leaning yes → likely 2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 4.2 pts 1500+
Traded 24h $17K $224K all time
Resolves by 2027-07-01
Source markets 11 11 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

1500+ 79% ▲ 4.2
1510+ 78% ▲ 16.0
1520+ 59% ▲ 23.0
1530+ 28% ▲ 8.5
1540+ 6% ▲ 0.5

Source markets for this story

Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Gemini 72% · +5.0 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of November? Polymarket · Google 80% · -4.0 24h
Best AI this month Kalshi · Gemini 80% · -1.0 24h
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? Polymarket · December 31 99% · +0.9 24h
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? Polymarket · Google 72% · -3.0 24h
Claude Fable 5.2: HLE-Diamond Debut? Polymarket · 65%+ 100% · +11.1 24h
Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut? Polymarket · 50%+ 100% · +1.0 24h
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...? Polymarket · December 31 44%
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut? Polymarket · 1500+ 79% · +4.2 24h
Gemini Krypton: HLE-Diamond Debut? Polymarket · 50%+ 92% · +3.0 24h
GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? Polymarket · November 19 35% · +18.1 24h
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