The Next Fable Model Is Likely to Hit a Top-Tier Arena Score
Source: Polymarket market “Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?”
likely (79%)
Leading outcome
1500+ 79%
Likely · Falling · B · tracked 4 days
peak 94% (2d ago) · low 68% (1d ago)
leaning yes → likely
2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
4.2 pts
1500+
Traded 24h
$17K
$224K all time
Resolves by
2027-07-01
Source markets
11
11 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
1500+
79%
▲
4.2
1510+
78%
▲
16.0
1520+
59%
▲
23.0
1530+
28%
▲
8.5
1540+
6%
▲
0.5
Source markets for this story
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Kalshi · Gemini 72% · +5.0 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Polymarket · Google 80% · -4.0 24h
Best AI this month
Kalshi · Gemini 80% · -1.0 24h
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
Polymarket · December 31 99% · +0.9 24h
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Polymarket · Google 72% · -3.0 24h
Claude Fable 5.2: HLE-Diamond Debut?
Polymarket · 65%+ 100% · +11.1 24h
Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?
Polymarket · 50%+ 100% · +1.0 24h
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?
Polymarket · December 31 44%
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
Polymarket · 1500+ 79% · +4.2 24h
Gemini Krypton: HLE-Diamond Debut?
Polymarket · 50%+ 92% · +3.0 24h
GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...?
Polymarket · November 19 35% · +18.1 24h
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