Curiosities

Vance's Topeka Rally Script Is Already Written — and Everyone Knows It

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?”

virtually certain (99%)
Resolved The money put Democrat at 99% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Democrat 99% Virtually certain · C probably not → virtually certain
24h move ▲ 4.0 pts Democrat
Traded 24h $120K $133K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-09

Where the money stands

Democrat 99% ▲ 4.0
Election 99% ▲ 9.0
Biden 99% ▲ 21.0
Border 99% ▲ 12.0
Steel 99% ▲ 62.0
Afford / Affordable / Affordability 99% ▲ 22.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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a coin flip (53%)

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The U.S. Is Very Likely to Import Russian Diesel Before Year-End

very likely (92%)

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Updated 1:10 PM ET ▲ up overnight
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traded today $32K venue Polymarket grade C tracked 18 days range 92% (0d ago) – 18% (13d ago) likely → very likely 7 tier changes