Finance

The 10-Year Treasury Yield Will Almost Certainly Remain Above 5.15% Through Early October

Source: Kalshi market “10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026?”

virtually certain (99%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put 5.16% or above at 99% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 5.16% or above 99% Virtually certain · C · tracked 13 days
24h move 0.0 pts 5.16% or above
Traded 24h $51K $52K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-06

Where the money stands

5.16% or above 99% 0.0
5.18% or above 99% 0.0
5.2% or above 99% 0.0
5.22% or above 99% 0.0
5.24% or above 99% 0.0
5.26% or above 92% 0.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page