U.S.a real race

Trump's Approval Rating Likely Sits at 37.5% in Mid-October

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 12, 2026?”

37.5%: probably not (26%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Leading outcome 37.5% 26% Probably not · B
24h move 0.0 pts 37.5%
Traded 24h $95K $95K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-12 Today
Source markets 3 3 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

37.5% 26% 0.0
37.6% 21% 0.0
37.8% 20% 0.0
37.7% 18% 0.0
Below 37.5% 13% 0.0
37.9% 4% 0.0

Source markets for this story

What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11) Polymarket · Ammunition 52% · +20.2 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page