U.S.37.8% on track to win

Trump's Approval Rating Is Likely Locked at 37.8 Heading Into Midterm Season

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 10, 2026?”

37.8%: likely (81%)
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Leading outcome 37.8% 81% Likely · C
24h move 0.0 pts 37.8%
Traded 24h $113K $113K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-10 Today

Where the money stands

37.8% 81% 0.0
37.9% 6% 0.0
37.7% 5% 0.0
Above 37.9% 4% 0.0
37.6% 3% 0.0
Below 37.3% 1% 0.0
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