U.S.Below 38.1% on track to win

Trump's Approval Average Is Likely to Stay Below 38.1% Through October 9

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026?”

Below 38.1%: likely (88%)
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Leading outcome Below 38.1% 88% Likely · C
24h move 0.0 pts Below 38.1%
Traded 24h $330K $331K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-09 Today

Where the money stands

Below 38.1% 88% 0.0
38.1% 11% 0.0
38.2% 2% 0.0
38.3% 1% 0.0
38.4% 1% 0.0
38.5% 1% 0.0
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