U.S.38.4% on track to win

Trump's Approval Rating Is Headed for 38.5% by October

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 7, 2026?”

38.4%: likely (75%)
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Leading outcome 38.4% 75% Likely · C
24h move 0.0 pts 38.4%
Traded 24h $233K $244K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-07 Today

Where the money stands

38.4% 75% 0.0
38.5% 16% 0.0
38.3% 8% 0.0
38.6% 3% 0.0
38.2% 2% 0.0
Above 38.7% 2% 0.0
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